€25 NLHE 6-max: 25nl J9s, 2nd nuts and I am confused
posted this in a few places; posting here to get opinions too..
reads: CO is a bad reg, somewhat spewy pre-flop and I've been God-moding him for a while since I moved to this limit. does 3bet light vs UTG opens a fair amount and folds to my 4bets a lot, so I'm assuming his range is capped here because if he had a big hand pre he'd 3bet for action.
BB is a fish, warrants the loose open to iso but J9s is really pretty anyway
checked the turn to check/raise, I think when CO flats with the fish behind on the flop then bets the turn his range should be mostly 1 pair hands/TT/66. I prefer this to barrelling 3 because rivers that are good for me probably get folds from most of his range and I either have to give up on brick rivers or barrel into the reg if the fish folds and worry about him hero'ing KQo or whatever.
river makes me want to cry because he shouldn't ever really play a set like this given board texture.. when i check my range should be air/really weak stuff because I should barrel my value hands to get value from the fish right? so he's assuming I'm giving up pretty much all the time and on a board like this he should want to get value from the fish with most of his value range.
then he raises the river here, I don't think this reg is capable of bluffing with this line so.. he's polarised to the nuts or nothing; and we have blockers to most of his busted draw range so it's nut only hands?
I only think he has AJ here; most likely AJhh since we block AJdd, sometimes AJo. (but then if he's bad enough to have AJo here then is he bad enough to check sets?)
PokerStars - €0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (UTG): €25.00
(VPIP: 22.71, PFR: 17.30, 3Bet Preflop: 10.43, Hands: 1,487)
BTN: €49.64 (VPIP: 21.62, PFR: 18.92, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 39)
SB: €38.54 (VPIP: 15.86, PFR: 11.84, 3Bet Preflop: 4.65, Hands: 484)
BB: €13.41 (VPIP: 36.75, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 122)
SB posts SB €0.10, BB posts BB €0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: €0.35) Hero
Hero raises to €0.75
calls €0.75, fold
, BB calls €0.50
Flop: (€2.35, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets €1.34
calls €1.34, BB calls €1.34
Turn: (€6.37, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero
River: (€6.37, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets €3.80
, CO raises to €13.75