Originally Posted by baudib1
I don't know, you're asking for a line check on a hand where every street is questionable vs. a villain with very little stats/history. it seems like each decision on each street is based on "he might have air" with very little to back that up -- I'm not 3-betting with the best hand pre because it folds his air, I'm calling the flop cuz he has a lot of air, I'm calling the turn because maybe he still has air, I'm shoving the river cuz, well, maybe he 3-barreled with air and I can make him fold when he's getting 3-1.
I like the river shove better than any other street but I think you need deeper effective stacks, he'll make a crying call here with a lot of hands that will surprise you IMO.
How is every street questionable?
Turn-------> Ok Questionable
And my reasoning on the river isn't trying to get him to fold his air, that should be obvious but I guess not...It's getting him to fold all the hands that he's going for thin value against me. Once he bets river, I think he very rarely has air (he still has some but not much) but I think he folds most of the hands that he makes that size of river bet.