K, so I decided to stove this...
If he's calling with the bottom 50% of his 70% range preflop, and he's calling with any gutshot postflop, his range looks something like this:
However, this is a pretty small range for him. He only folds like 20% of flops, but this range has him folding about half his range. So it could be even wider than this.
Jd9d - 63%
Villain's Massive Range - 37%
So on the flop its a pretty clear bet. The 2s on the turn makes him almost flipping with me:
Jd9d - 54%
Villain's Massive Range - 46%
And the river is roughly the same, 55:45.
The trick is, I'm not sure if I get called by his whole range on the river, since all those gutshots & runner runner flushes missed.
So yeah, I chickened out, and checked behind.
** Dealing River ** [
zapa2525 shows [
Hero shows [
Hero wins $3.81 USD from main pot
Not sure if he was planning on calling us with ace high, but in hindsight I almost think I could've bet this one. Still not sure.