$25 NL 6-max: BvB, Valuetown /w TPNK against station?

c9h13no3

c9h13no3

Is drawing with AK
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I get in way more interesting spots blind vs. blind.

Villain is a fit or call mo-tard running 46/4/24% over 54 hands. My image is probably not noticed by him, cuz he's a mo-tard.

Seat 5: Steve Pratt ( $38.90 USD )
Seat 6: Hero ( $32.51 USD )
Steve Pratt posts small blind [$0.10 USD].
Hero posts big blind [$0.25 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ :3c4: :10s4: ]
IHateFullTilt folds
bigj99678 folds
Steve Pratt calls [$0.15 USD]
Hero raises [$1.00 USD]
Steve Pratt calls [$1.00 USD]
Potsize = $2.50
** Dealing Flop ** [ :5c4: :10d4: :7d4: ]
Steve Pratt checks
Hero bets [$1.95 USD]
Steve Pratt calls [$1.95 USD]
Potsize = $6.40
** Dealing Turn ** [ :5c4: :10d4: :7d4: :2c4: ]
Steve Pratt checks
Hero....
 
B

bw07507

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I think I check behind here. Getting ch/raised here would suck terribly since u picked up the flush draw with your top pair and checking behind would allow villain to bet at a blank river with a 5, 7, 88, 99 or busted flush draw.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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I think I check behind here. Getting ch/raised here would suck terribly since u picked up the flush draw with your top pair and checking behind would allow villain to bet at a blank river with a 5, 7, 88, 99 or busted flush draw.
This guy is not aggressive enough to bet underpairs for more than a min-bet. I also don't have a flush draw. He isn't isn't bluffing a busted flush draw 99% of the time either. However, if he has a flush draw, I can pretty much bet anything and get value.

He's pretty stationy, stations call. Especially if he views me as lag (however unlikely) and is letting me bluff, then not betting here is a huge mistake.
 
B

bw07507

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Yea, thought u had T3c, not T3o so a bet on the turn is good to get value from under pairs and to make the flush draw/overs pay draw.
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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BvB i value bet the turn all day.
 
F Paulsson

F Paulsson

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Yeah, this is a clear bet for me, and I have no qualms about ditching it if I get raised. He's drawing or has a weaker hand that will pay another bet here so often.
 
beechleaf

beechleaf

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hes chasing for sure with Q/J os in hopes of rivering you might have a small pp 44 or 66 but my moneys on the over cards
 
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GrantGreen

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Quick question with the stats... what is 24%? Agg frequency??

This also seems like a time for 3 streets of value. Makes up for the times they call you down w/22 with 5 overs on the board and take the pot vs your AK. Unless the river is really bad.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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24% is the aggression frequency.

Lets say I bet 5$, and he called. Would you consider the :5d4: on the river a bad card?
 
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feitr

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I'd have no problem betting turn all day vs a station here...you are less likely to get value on the river, sicne some guys will actually do ridiculous crap like call 2 streets with a gutshot, which you obviuosly miss value out of on the river after they miss.

guys like htis aren't bluffing missed draws, they are also very unlikely to raise turn, and if they did it is a pretty easy fold.

5d would make me slow down on the river probably. i really doubt villain has a fd here, but a 5 or 7 is definitely a possibility. villain's range is miles wider than a 5 or a fd however, so it wouldn't be all that bad. I'd still probably check behind on the river if 5d come tho. We aren't getting value anymore out of alot of random shit villain might have called 2 streets (oesds/gutshots/overcards etc).
 
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