F Paulsson
euro love
Silver Level
Villain is somewhat of a nit preflop (18/16) but aggressive and just a tiny bit on the loose side postflop. He doesn't marry hands, but once he sees a flop, he likes to play. His flop aggression frequency is 56%, and not over a small sample, so it's not like he's doing this with only sets, and the only two pair combo in his range is Q9 (and probably only Q9s) making it fairly unlikely that he has me beat. His 3-bet is 10% from BB, by the way, so we can probably reduce the likelyhood of AQ and even KQ, too.
So there's probably a lot of draws in his range when he raises me, ranging from flush draws and OESDs to gutshots.
But can I play this hand profitably out of position? If I call the flop (I doubt that raising is a good play, but I'll hear arguments for it if you have them) what do I do on a bricky turn, say 6s? Donk? check/raise? Go for a cheap showdown? How do I balance not giving free cards with opening myself up to be raised off of the best hand?
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HAND #1
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party poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker
BTN: $270.85 (135.4 bb)
Hero (SB): $230.39 (115.2 bb)
BB: $235.05 (117.5 bb)
MP: $573.68 (286.8 bb)
CO: $490.20 (245.1 bb)
Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with Q
J
3 folds, Hero raises to $6, BB calls $4
Flop: ($12) 5
Q
9
(2 players)
Hero bets $8, BB raises to $26, Hero tanks...
So there's probably a lot of draws in his range when he raises me, ranging from flush draws and OESDs to gutshots.
But can I play this hand profitably out of position? If I call the flop (I doubt that raising is a good play, but I'll hear arguments for it if you have them) what do I do on a bricky turn, say 6s? Donk? check/raise? Go for a cheap showdown? How do I balance not giving free cards with opening myself up to be raised off of the best hand?
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HAND #1
--------------------
party poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker
BTN: $270.85 (135.4 bb)
Hero (SB): $230.39 (115.2 bb)
BB: $235.05 (117.5 bb)
MP: $573.68 (286.8 bb)
CO: $490.20 (245.1 bb)
Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with Q
3 folds, Hero raises to $6, BB calls $4
Flop: ($12) 5
Hero bets $8, BB raises to $26, Hero tanks...