200nl 6max: 99 slopppyyyyy

I've been very aggro by my standards on this table, somewhere near 27/27 over a hundred+ hands. Villain is 24/20/4.6 over a decent sample, but has been significantly tighter and more passive this session.

I feel like I botched this entire hand. I didn't cbet the flop because he's smart enough to bluff-raise it a good chunk of the time, and with me being so active recently I decided it was just too likely, so I opted for a more passive route....which lead me to botch the entire hand.

Any better lines? What to do on the turn/riv as played on the flop?

poker stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

BB: $328.85 (164.4 bb)
Hero (UTG): $299.30 (149.7 bb)
MP: $517.35 (258.7 bb)
CO: $143.25 (71.6 bb)
BTN: $243.65 (121.8 bb)
SB: $200 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is UTG with 9 9
Hero raises to $7, MP folds, CO calls $7, 3 folds

Flop: ($17) 7 4 J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $12, Hero calls $12

Turn: ($41) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $32, Hero calls $32

River: ($105) K (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $92.25 and is all-in, Hero folds

I feel your pain. River looks so much like a scare card that any busted draw could us to bluff at us, and yet with the price we get, we can't really call here with 3rd pair.

One variation could be to block bet/fold the river?

You can't fold the river! He's not value shoving a Jack there. Basically, he represents a 7 or a King, both of which are unlikely holdings.
I'd say this is a very standard call against an aggressive opponent. He's gonna triple barrel you on that river card with just about 100% of his no-showdown-value range.

If he's any good, he'll even know you have some kind of pair but probably not a Jack, which is the reason why he double barreled you to begin with.

As played I think your river line's fine. Obv I cb this flop. Not sure I like the bet/fold option on river as any bet will only leave villain with small change anyway, so we may well just let him bluff river if that's what we think.

The only hand we beat here is busted flush draw, now you have under-repped your hand here, and his line could be perceived that he's is playing for a flush, but it's marginal. I think your only getting like 2/1 here to call, not sure if that good enough to call tbh?

pf fine obv, i like the flop check but why are we calling the turn then folding the river? the Ks doesn't change much - as CTC said there's not a lot of Kx hands in his range here - hands like AK will 3bet pre, hands like KQdd will surely take a free card on the flop or turn and other Kx hands barring KJ either won't double barrel given that villain is passive or won't play pf.

if we think we're ahead enough to call turn we should be calling the river too, otherwise just fold turn.

hand analysis at its best between the great players good to look at some really techy hand analysis sorry chuck but my analysis you probs wouldnt take notice lol good to look at this though.

yeah wow, i really want to call river too, although i think it's a tougher call than ctc makes it out to be

he's beating us with a couple suited 7s/44/77/KJ/maybe KQ. hard to imagine he's calling with weaker Ks PF even vs. you, given the small disparity between his calling and raising. anything else he could beat us with it'd be kind of unusual to not 3bet you with PF given your aggression. scary thing is could he turn TT into a bluff here to try to fold out a J? seems really unlikely though

you did say he's been passive and tighter this session, but his overall stats tell you exactly what he's capable of, and he could be trying to use that image to his advantage here