re: Poker & 200nl 6max - 2pr oop 130bb's deep
Originally Posted by Jagsti
Err, no but if he takes the usual line for fl draws I'd expect him to push the flop tbh as his equity is far greater than on the turn.
Ya but his fold equity is far less. Waiting til the turn & beluga'ing regs is a move I'm seeing more and more, since they give it so much more respect. Course, this isn't a beluga raise since you x/r'd the flop, but meh.
The flatting of your x/r in position implies that he thinks you're bluffing. His line allows him to get another bet from your bluffs when you bet the turn. The question is, is he doing this for value, or as a re-bluff?
His MP range certainly does carry AQ, all sets, and a few flush draws. If he were on the button or CO, I'd be more inclined to think he's making a move here.
Could we get some more stats like W$SD, turn AF? Maybe overall & turn aggression frequency? Steal % couldn't hurt either. This seems sorta close, and he can't really think your range is that strong on an AQx flop flatting from the BB. I think I'd need to see some more stats & take into account the dynamic at the table between you two in order to decide.
But you're a nit, so he prolly does this with like any two