$200 NLHE Full Ring: Live game, shove river vs. 2?
Live $1-$3 game, I Mississippi straddle on BTN for $15.
3 callers, including 1 nit and 1 LAG. I have a hand I could easily raise but check it instead as almost no pots are being taken down preflop and there's tons of back-raising going on with people getting it in pre with 66/AJ/KQ type hands. Also the nit's limp range probably crushes me.
I'm not going to reveal my hole cards because I want you to think of everyone's ranges instead.
Stack sizes: Nit $300, LAG $450, me $400ish
2 checks and LAG bets $25 into $60ish, I call OTB, 1 fold, nit calls.
Detailed notes on villains: LAG is, well, very LAGGY. He usually bets pretty big with made hands, this stab here is probably air, middle pair, weak draw. He certainly raises most Aces pre.
Important: LAG perceives me as a huge nit (most of you will find this to be completely LOL) but he only saw me play once and I was just in a session where I had no spots to make big moves (IMO). I have also seen him make huge folds for not much money.
The Nit is typical of a lot of live nits in that they play better hands than you but play their ranges face-up. One hand earlier tonight he tank-called with trips when I bluff-raised his donk on the river. On a big hand he played against someone else he bet-called then check-called huge bets on flop and turn with monster draw and then checked his missed draw on river. I think he would probably just bet out or check/shove AJ+ here.
Turn (pot: $136):
Both check. I bet $75, nit calls, LAG says, "don't know what I got myself into," and calls.
River (pot $361):
What are their ranges and what should hero do here?
Stack sizes: Nit has under $200, LAG around $350, I have less than a PSB bet.