$200 NLHE Full Ring: Live game 250BB deep with AA

$200 NL HE Full Ring: Live game 250BB deep with AA

Live game @ local casino.

1/2NL 200max buyin, been playing for 4 hours, recently moved to new table. Literally played 1 orbit, showed one hand AQo which was nuts KJT flop.

Couple regs, Villan is complete unknown, but has most money ~$1000. Seems like casual player, apparently he won 3-way all in w/ 55 vs 22+AK. Then called with 77 allin on QT6r board againt AK flop shove.

So I can assume his a bit of an idiot too. So far nothing fancy, apparently he has since tightened up significantly and has been sitting on his stacks, showing little aggression since I've sat down.

Effective stacks $500.

AcAs
Hero ($500) MP+1 raises to $12
CO calls $12
BTN calls $12
Villan ($1000) BB raises to $25
Hero re-raises to $75
Fold, Fold, Villan Calls.

FLOP ($176)

Js 9d 3c

Villan bets $40
Hero calls $40

TURN ($256)

4h

Villan bets $125
Hero calls $125

RIVER ($506)

7c

Villan bets $125
Hero moves all in for $260
Villan calls $145


I wanted to raise the flop + turn, but I thought I might have been deep enough that he would fold some hands to me. I was quite sure his range is JJ+/AK in this spot, especially after 3-betting then flatting a 4-bet. Also, I'd assume he wouldn't 3-bet some hands that would spike a set on this board like 22-TT.

The $40 seems like a defensive bet, could be with AK or nothing. I chose to flat to induce further action. I'm quite confident my hand was best all the way, but felt with my position I could give him more rope to commit his hand to the pot. Basically I'm going broke on this hand unless a K/Q shows up on the turn/river. Of course my line of thought would be that his most obvious hands are KK/QQ. By the river I'm 1000% sure he never has a set. So I shove for max value.


Ideas? Or I play bad?

I would probably raise the flop, but looks fine to me.

I can't think of a hand he could be holding that beats AA. I think your reasoning was right, the only hands I can really see him playing like that are KK and QQ. Him having JJ and betting his trips is a possibility but that is the only hand that could beat AA in this scenario ... and it's unlikely.

Reraise more preflop, 4xing the $25 to $100 would be the minimum (we have to account for the dead $50 in the pot, combined withour $100 villain is still getting 2:1 to call inthis spot...we can't give him even better odds than that.)

Side note I'd 4 bet light a bunch in this spot bc villains line looks so retarded (min raising after 2 calls giving the PFR and callers 5:1, 6:1 and 7:1 respectively) that he has a pot builder hand much more often than a huge one (unless we have some read that he is exceptionally bad or plays large pairs in this fashion)

On the flop JAM it. We have prior history that villain called down with 7s on a QTx board, now all of a sudden we're giving him credit for folding AJ,QQ KK here? (hint its 1/2 NL AND we have extra info on villain -- no way)

He bet less than 25% pot, we're probably popping him with AK here a lot anyway after this ridiculous bet, so why not include AA in our range as well even strictly for balance issues.

As played (flop) I'd shove the turn...

As played (turn) I'd shove the river. I doubt JJ (or even 99) would bet 125 instead of the full 260 (if that's the case he's braindead) and given preflop action we aren't too worried about much else