$200 NL HE Full Ring: Live game. Did I get bluffed?
Note: I ramble a bit in the following hand history. It was in a live game and saying what cards hit doesn't seem to justify the situation, read between the lines if you must (details in bold to assist the speed-reading) or just ignore the thread altogether if it annoys you. Thanks.
There’s a hand from the other night that I just can’t figure out.
I play live 1/2NL Hold em
which I’m very good at but the other night someone made a play that I just can’t figure out if I made a good fold or a bad one.
This guy has like $120 in front of him, I’ve got a mountain of chips in front of me.
He’s only played for about five minutes so I don’t know anything about him yet. But over the next few hours I figured out he usually plays online (hence the reason I’m asking about his play online, hoping you guys have better insight than I do) and that he’s more than capable of making reckless plays, he likes to call a bluff and to pull off a bluff himself, he also overuses continuation bets. His face lights up with a million tells
but the sheer quantity of them made him difficult to establish a baseline and to get much of a read on him in the first few hours.
I get dealt pocket queens and I’m in the BB, a guy two to my left fires off $10, villain calls, someone a couple of seats to his left calls and I re-raise to $35, it’s folded through to villain who calls and the guy behind him folds.
We take the flop heads up and it hits 357 with a heart draw out there
but I’m not at all concerned about it and figure the absence of a scare card is enough for me and I’m quite happy to take the $90 pot
right now and bet out another $40, at which point I’m surprised to see him raise all in.
It should be noted that I’m 100% certain that he didn’t have kings or aces.
I say “you hit your set?” convincing myself that surely he wouldn’t have made two pair with that flop, surely no one could have made two pair in this situation. At one point he says something to the effect of “fold, I’ve got you crushed” typically I don’t pay much attention to tells that a person has control over so I don’t think his comment means much, but I do have an inclination to believe him because with surprising accuracy people are honest about their hands because:
1)They don’t expect you to believe them.
2)They want to show it down and say I told you so.
I thought about it for a long time and mucked my hand.
He asks “You had an overpair?”
He leans to the guy next to him and says “I think I bluffed him”... but he mucked his cards without showing.
Logically, he had to be bluffing
but I agree with some of Doyle Brunson’s advice from Super System, you’ve got to go with your first instinct because it’s almost always right... in addition to that, my reads have been spot on like 95% of the time and I swear every ounce of me thought he’d out-flopped me.
After seeing how he plays I think there’s a chance he hit two pair or a set but I know he’s capable of making that play with nothing, putting me on a continuation bet and bluffing... but he had to know I had a high pocket pair and I’m the only guy at that table who could get away from a high pocket pair on that flop (and he didn’t know I was capable of it, he’d only played for five minutes) so how could he bluff in that spot?...
I just can’t figure this one out, has anyone got any insight as to what may have been going on here?