$200 NLHE Full Ring: Eyes fluttering, mistates stack size
I don't consider myself a "soul reader" and I usually tell people that physical tells
are a hugely overrated part of live poker. Verbal tells are another story as many many people give away so much when they speak.
Here's the hand: A LAG opens with a minraise to $6 UTG, 1 call from a loose player in CO, and I have
OTB. I make it $25 -- this is purely a 3-bet for value as raiser's bet-sizing indicates a speculative hand (his normal raises are $10-$20) and he won't fold whatever crap he opened with. BB calls, UTG calls, CO calls.
Villain is BB. Don't know much about him. He's younger, probably 25-30, listening to his iPod. We were involved in a small pot where everyone checks flop on A65, he small on 4 turn, I call, river is 3, he bets, I fold and he shows
Stack sizes: He has just under $400 and I have him barely covered.
Flop: Pot $101, 4 players:
Checks to me and I bet $60, BB calls, everyone else folds.
Turn: Pot $221, 2 players:
BB bets $110, I call.
River: Pot $441, 2 players:
BB says "All-in."
I ask him how much. I notice he is blinking very rapidly and he blurts, "Two-ninety!" He had pushed forward 2 stacks, he then corrects himself and says, "One-ninety something." It was $198.
What do you make of his reaction and do you call? My initial instinct is to fold. $198 to win ~$639 minus rake.