re: Poker & $200 NLHE Full Ring: Is any pair with flush/straight draw considered a good hand to be aggressive with?
Originally Posted by Jillychemung
What hand range did you have the villain on? What were your reasons for the raise given the range you had villain on?
What was your plan preflop for the hand? Did you consider a 3-bet from the BTN preflop?
A lot of the 'correctness' of playing a hand like this depend on what you were thinking during the hand. Absent some of these important details, nice hand.
During pre-flop, when I was on the button, UTG+1 is relatively a tight player. His vpip, I would give about 20. His pfr rate is 18. Rarely I see this guy limp. Since there were so many callers and I have nice suited connectors from a button and it was just 3 blinds, I decided to call since I have the best position on everyone, and I can simply fold if I miss the flop. SB and BB were both calling stations who rarely 3-bets. The implied odds was too good to not call.
On the flop, I was just blinded by the action-seeking monster of my hand. BB bets out for $10. I wasn't sure what he had to be donk betting with but I'm putting him on range of middle/top pair+random kicker, two pairs, set, straight, etc. When the mp2 reraised, I'm figuring that the guy might've hit top two pairs, set, straight. I rarely seen mp2 bluff. He only got into big pots with big hands for 2 hours of playing. I decided to 3-bet to $100(in honesty, I was bonded to my hand that can create lot of actions even if someone has a set or a straight or two pairs). BB folded, MP2 puts me all-in. At this point, I'm thinking that he's prolly hit a set or flopped a straight. Even though I'm supposed to put people on range of hands, I factored out the flush draw because never once, I seen this guy bluff around or put his money in behind on draws. Simply a straight, set or top/bottom two pairs, not J7.
I ended up calling and indeed, he did have a straight. I came back home and inputted my hand odd against his. My equity was 38.79% win equity, 6.97% tie equity, and 54.24% loss equity.
I was wondering what my equities would've been if the guy had flopped a set. Surprising absolute nuts have less chance of holding up against me than set holding up against me. And I believe this is because even if I make my flush, if board pairs, then it negates my flush whereas straight is automatically defeated if I hit my flush.