$200 NLHE Full Ring: 15$ flop bet with HUGE implied odds...correct call?

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Styrofoam

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I want to start off by saying this happened in a live game, so there is no hand converter. I will do my best to make this readable.

Also, some history: I've been playing for about 3 hours, and really bad player just sat down, paying off EVERYONE at the table with mediocre hands, calling to the river with bottom pair, every time for all of his chips. I was leaving when my next button reached me...

okay, the hand: I am UTG, but the table had been straddling, so I posted my straddle. I have about ~400 in chips in the 9 seat, other people have me covered, crazy bad player is in the 4 seat and has about 150$ in chips.

Its folded to the 4 seat who calls, and its folded again to the big blind who calls, I check my hand with 6♦9♥. Flop comes 9♣K♠A♦. Big blind checks, I check, and Crazy person bets $15, big blind folds. Action to me:


Okay, here's the question: I KNOW that he has a pair to the board, Likely a King or an Ace. I also KNOW that if I improve my hand he will stack off to me every time he doesn't improve his... Are the implied odds enough to justify calling the 15$ bet in hopes of spiking a 6 or a 9 on the turn and stacking him?
 
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Styrofoam

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2 more dollars... so its a straddle for 4.
 
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Aldito

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I don't think you're implied odds are as good as you think. He's only got $135 behind and even if you improve you don't know you're good and his higher pairs will always have counterfeit outs.

Why not just wait til you're on the button, raise this limping donk and take him to valuetown?
 
Deco

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So the pot is $13 and he bet $15?
Nah I'm out of here. We have 5outs and ~ 9 to 1 chance to hit on the turn. We'd need to stack him pretty much every time to make up for the call and we're not drawing to the nuts.

Judging by how sure you are we get paid off most times we hit I'm also assuming he's rarely bluffing.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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Yeah, this isn't like a flopping a set or a nut draw where our opponent has next to no equity when we hit. We have a 5 out draw, and when we hit, we still only have ~75% equity in the pot.

So if we're 9:1 to hit on the turn, and getting ~2:1, we'd need implied odds of ~9.3:1 to continue. Since crazy person has about 135 behind and he bet $15, its a pretty easy fold.
 
WVHillbilly

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Also our 5 out might not be good since he has A6/A9/K6/K9 all in his range. Clear fold imo.
 
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Aldito

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Yeah, this isn't like a flopping a set or a nut draw where our opponent has next to no equity when we hit. We have a 5 out(at the very best) draw, and when we hit, we still only have ~75% equity in the pot.

So if we're 9:1 to hit on the turn, and getting ~2:1, we'd need implied odds of ~9.3:1 to continue. Since crazy person has about 135 behind and he bet $15, its a pretty easy fold.

...
 
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