$20 NLHE Full Ring: can tptk be good?
I haven't played with villain too much before but he seems fairly solid and the notes I have on him are that he plays sets strongly, raising and betting big, have also seen him raise flop cbets with a gutshot.
UTG - Hero ($20.83)
UTG+1 - Villain ($47.45)
Hero is dealt AKs
Hero raises to $0.60, villain calls, 4 folds
Flop ($1.43) is K,8,6 with two diamonds
hero bets $1, villain raises to $3.77, hero calls
Turn ($8.59) is a 3 (offsuit)
hero checks, villain bets $6.98, hero calls
River ($21.48) is a 7 (offsuit)
hero checks, villain bets $9.48 to put hero all in, hero calls
How do you think I played the hand, based on my reads should it be a fold on the turn? I think the turn is where I could have got away from the hand since by the river I am getting more than 3 to 1 on a call but then again what are we beating here? Part of my thinking was that I'd seen him make sets and play them similarly twice in the last 20 minutes or so (more or less the only hands he's played) and I thought surely he can't have it again, probably a stupid way of thinking though. What are your thoughts?