re: Poker & $20 NLHE Full Ring: QQ vs. Half Stack Nit
Originally Posted by WVHillbilly
His steal % is 2??? That can't be right can it.
FWIW, I snap shove this. You can't consider folding and flatting here is horrible. With the $$ already in the middle it's profitable even if he only does this with JJ+. Throw in AK and a random bluff and it's a clear shove.
^^ yeah this...
If his steal % is really only 2% (that's absurdly low for anybody
...i don't see how that can possibly be right from someone with a PFR of 5%) over any sort of decent sample (esp combined with a low (under 3%) 3b% you can probably find a fold or at least flat it and set mine as opposed to raise/get it in.
In general agaisnt a 14/5/4.5 half stack BVB I'm putting QQ in every single time though.
And I forget who it was early who was advocating flatting... and then getting it in as an overpair on something like JT2. Frankly that's terrible... Doubly terrible on that board. His most likely hands are of course AA/KK/AK but after those 3 his next two most likely hands are JJ and TT and you gave AK 2 extra outs against you as well... basically none of his range is gonna fold a shove there and your equity will suck.
Either fold it now or get it in now.. and I lean towards getting it in without a very good read. also if you are going to fold it to a 3b vs a half stack you shouldn't have raised it at all.