$20 NLHE 6-max: Top set on dry flop vs TAG reg.

forsakenone

forsakenone

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Alright, as usual I am playing lag. my stats on table are 28/25 over 57 hands. My overall stats are pretty close to these, maybe a little less on the pfr.

UTG is playing 19/17/3.7 AF over 293 hands.

I was 4 tabling and he was on all 4. Few hands before I stacked him with T8 on 8822. I bet this flop, he raised I called, turn came I check he shoved and shoved 66 and lost. Also there ware 2 spades on flop so I think he had me on a flushdraw, or AK, or maybe he even thought I might fold an overpair on this board.

Overall, how do you act? Just call on flop? I think call looks pretty strong, but so does a raise. How do I extract value?

Also, I think he has an overpair here.

888 Poker - $0.20 NL - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (BTN): $34.19
SB: $11.69
BB: $31.20
UTG: $21.90
CO: $26.70

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.20

Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero has 8:heart: 8:diamond:

UTG raises to $0.70, fold, Hero calls $0.70, fold, fold

Flop: ($1.70, 2 players) 2:diamond: 5:heart: 8:spade:
UTG bets $1.20, Hero ??
 
jbbb

jbbb

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I don't think it matters too much tbh. I'd probably prefer calling to let him catch up a bit because a good majority of his range is overcards.

Call and see what he does on the turn, the power of position.

If he bets again on the turn raise small, try and make him spaz shove thinking you're being a dick. If he checks bet big like you're trying to take the pot away and hopefully make him spaz out again.

Having position with the nuts against a player you have an aggressive dynamic with is always a good situation :)

Also if you get to showdown be sure to take this line at least once with a bluff. It's good balance and in all likelyhood he'll fold because he remember you had the nuts last time you took the same line.
 
JOEBOB69

JOEBOB69

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What is villains flop cbet % compared to his turn cbet %
If villain will double barrel with AQ,Ak type of hands i'll let him continue.If there is a huge gap i'll just pray he has QQ,KK,AA and try to get as much in as i can on the flop.
 
OMGITSOVER9K

OMGITSOVER9K

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if you think he has an overpair, raise and stack before a potential scare card comes.

but my instinct here is normally to flat, and see what he does on the turn , from that last hand you talked about he seems to like to pounce on weakness, so letting him barrel off his stack seems like pretty easy money to me.

also depends on whether he would turn JJ into a triple barrel bluff on a A turn brick river imo.
 
B

baudib1

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I think this spot depends hugely on meta/history. If you are playing LAG then presumably you are raising his cbets a lot and if you think he has an overpair here and is just sick of you, just try to get him to stuff a lot of money in.

I don't like the idea of flatting to raise the turn because it just looks too strong.
 
Deco

Deco

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How good are 20NL regs in general? Are they capable of folding overpairs?
If they're not raise
If they can flat (low flops get barrelled loads!)
If your not sure do what JoeBob said.

Without any further information I'm flatting. Perhaps I'm overestimating 20NL regs but I think a raise without history vs a tight UTG opener stinks of set and the money we lose when we could have got stacks in can be made up via villains bluffs and the occasional times villain calls a river shove.
 
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