$20 NLHE 6-max: KK facing all in on flop.

forsakenone

forsakenone

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22 hands only on Villain.36/18/0.5AF

He already lost 1 buyin in 22 hands, saw 4 showdows out of 7 hands he saw flop, won 1 showdown out of those 4.

888 Poker - $0.20 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $22.51
Hero (SB): $23.75
BB: $20.00
UTG: $39.13
MP: $25.03
CO: $25.31

Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.20

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.30) Hero has K:heart: K:spade:

UTG raises to $0.40, MP calls $0.40, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.20, fold, UTG calls $1.80, MP calls $1.80

Flop: ($6.80, 3 players) J:heart: 7:diamond: 8:club:
Hero bets $4.00, fold, MP raises to $22.83, Hero ???
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Snap.

We need %36 equity to call profitably.

Board: Jh 7d 8c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 55.676% 54.93% 00.74% 13052 176.50 { 88-77, AJs, T9s, 87s, AJo }
Hand 1: 44.324% 43.58% 00.74% 10355 176.50 { KhKs }

His range is realistically more like this though:

Board: Jh 7d 8c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.774% 43.22% 00.56% 19253 248.50 { QQ-77, AJs, T9s, 87s, AJo }
Hand 1: 56.226% 55.67% 00.56% 24800 248.50 { KhKs }

...with the nut hands discounted, probably. He doesn't just shove JJ/9Ts most of the time, instead slowplaying to get full value.

I only really start thinking about folding these spots when stacks are a lot deeper, like 150bb+ since most villains aren't jamming top pairs at that point and our equity starts to look a lot worse.
 
O

orangepeeleo

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Yeah I think 100~ bb deep I dont mind calling here, SPR on the flop is good for us thanks to the large 3bet pre, his line looks like 77/88/JJ though, but we're still not making a mistake stacking off otf, whereas if he was set-mining oop he did pre so w/e lol
 
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