$20 NLHE 6-max: How much of his range is a bluff at 25NL?

$20 NL HE 6-max: How much of his range is a bluff at 25NL?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 85/71/2

I've only seen a few players like this at 25NL.

Stats over 175 hands. His typical pf raise size is $4 when anyone limps into him, and is between $1.25 and $4 without limpers. His 3bet% is 31.82, and has called all-ins with T8o and 96s. Here he limp/calls.

Is the river shove anything other than a made hand with these stats, esp. since I checked behind on the turn? His AF isn't particularly high.

Stacks:
* BTN with $38.95
* SB with $25.45
* BB with $65.25
* UTG with $13.40
* MP with $48.50
* CO with $32.95

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
Site: pokerstars
* * Dealt to BTN:K♠ K♣
* * Sklansky group 1
Preflop:
* * 1 players fold.
* * MP raises $0.75 to $1
* * CO calls [$1]
* * Hero raises $3.10 to $4.10
* * 2 players fold.
* * MP calls [$3.10]
* * 1 players folded.
* * Total folds this street: 4
* * Potsize: $9.55
Flop:
* * Q♣ J♥ 8♣
* * MP: checks
* * Hero bets [$7]
* * 1 players fold.
* * MP calls [$7]
* * Potsize: $23.55
Turn:
* * Q♠
* * MP: checks
* * Hero: checks
* * Potsize: $23.55
River:
* * 4♥
* * MP bets [$37.40] [ all-in ]
* * Hero ?

Thats a tough spot. As much as I've been tilting off lately, I actually wouldn't think he had a Q, and I'd call to find out he called a raise with J4 to hit his 2 pair, in which my monitor would have a fist size hole in it.lol

RichKo said:

Thats a tough spot. As much as I've been tilting off lately, I actually wouldn't think he had a Q, and I'd call to find out he called a raise with J4 to hit his 2 pair, in which my monitor would have a fist size hole in it.lol

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That's ok though, because you would have a higher two pair KK QQ.
A queen could be well within this guys range, checking to set you up, then a donkey allin overbet here. He's either messing with your head to hope for a call, or hes making a mad bluff.

Against this opponent we just have to call. There are way too many busted draws and random Jx hands that are just shoving for the sake of shoving.

ChuckTs said:

Against this opponent we just have to call. There are way too many busted draws and random Jx hands that are just shoving for the sake of shoving.

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+1

It's shitty when he shows up with Qx, but this is random trash like almost all the time.

dsvw56 said:

+1

It's shitty when he shows up with Qx, but this is random trash like almost all the time.

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Thanks guys, I feel better, felt I had to call. The fact that I feel better tells you he had Q3o - the result sucked, but wanted to validate I did the right thing for the right reasons by calling.

Aaronftw said:

That's ok though, because you would have a higher two pair KK QQ.
A queen could be well within this guys range, checking to set you up, then a donkey allin overbet here. He's either messing with your head to hope for a call, or hes making a mad bluff.

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HA...wasn't even thinking about the counterfeit. Good catch, I'm a doof.lol Anyways...J4, Q3 same difference...Q3???...