£20 NLHE 6-max: Blind v blind tough spot.
Okay so the Villain here is an aggressive SB stealer with a stat of 50% SB steal. Things got pretty hot in here.
iPoker - £0.20 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BB): 235 BB
UTG: 99.5 BB (VPIP: 29.86, PFR: 20.94, 3Bet Preflop: 9.66, Hands: 2,060)
CO: 169.75 BB (VPIP: 22.39, PFR: 13.58, 3Bet Preflop: 4.21, Hands: 12,298)
BTN: 102 BB (VPIP: 24.03, PFR: 15.54, 3Bet Preflop: 4.85, Hands: 6,120)
SB: 129.9 BB
(VPIP: 20.20, PFR: 16.21, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 1,666)
posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero
posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero
, SB raises to 3 BB
, Hero raises to 9 BB
calls 6 BB
Flop: (18 BB, 2 players)
checks, Hero bets 12.6 BB
, SB raises to 38.35 BB
I really really don't like the idea of calling the turn and folding if we don't improve. Unless he is bluffing
our top pair is most certainly beat so we are down to straight draw. And if we are facing QJ we are really screwed. We are also in big trouble against QTs/KTs/ATs. We don't really want him to have a set either.
Now if he has 2 pair then we are surely priced in to shove. The Villain hasn't done something like this before so I really don't think he is bluffing. The worst I'll give him here is a flush draw with an over card.
So then the difficult question comes, is it the right play to fold it? Or you think calling and folding turn is better? Or is our hand big enough to shove? We still have 100 BB left to play for.