€20 NLHE 6-max: Big draw, complicated spot
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 22/12/5(227), raise flop 19%
Hero (SB): €20.73
Hero posts SB €0.10, BB posts BB €0.20
Pre Flop: (€0.30) Hero has 8♦ 6♦
fold, MP calls €0.20, CO calls €0.20, fold, Hero calls €0.10, BB checks
Flop: (€0.80, 4 players) 7♠ J♦ 9♦
Hero bets €1.00, BB raises to €3.10, fold, fold, Hero raises to €10.10, BB calls €7.00
Turn: (€21.00, 2 players) A♣
Hero bets €10.43 and is all-in, BB calls €9.70 and is all-in
River: (€40.40, 2 players) A♦
Here I am with a big draw that's facing aggression. Since villain is BB, he can have any two cards. He is aggressive from the stats, but how much is that aggression tamed by the 2 players still to act?
So what's his range for raising my overbet on this flop? Sets - 77, as 99 and JJ raise pre. Any 2 pairs. Other monster draws like QTd, AKd, AQd, A7d. The straight, although less likely since I have an 8. What about lesser draws such as QTo, A2d-ATd, do they raise with 2 players left to act? Anything else I should add to his range?
Now his calling range, I assume includes all of the above apart from the lesser draws I'm not even sure he raises the flop with.
What about the turn, do I gaine some FE and should I shove? i'm either shoving or c/c there, so I think it's the right play? Or maybe c/c the turn and c/f river if I miss is better...? Argh, so many questions!