€20 NLHE 6-max: 2 pair draw heavy 3-bet board, villain makes no sense!

C

ComplexPlaya

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 26/18/3

243 hands on BB, and a ton of notes. He is agressive, to the point of 5-bet shoving AJs into me (I do 4-bet light some time but hadn't at all in that session), bluffing a 71/33 on the river etc. He also calls too much, called a cbet with 2nd pair 3 kicker on a wet board. His 3-bet % is 9, and 12 from the blinds

SB is a 67/2/1, enough said.

BB: €51.50
UTG: €4.70
Hero (BTN): €25.40
SB: €51.84

SB posts SB €0.10, BB posts BB €0.20

Pre Flop: (€0.30) Hero has J:spade: Q:heart:

fold, Hero raises to €0.70, SB calls €0.60, BB raises to €2.40, Hero calls €1.70, SB calls €1.70

Flop: (€7.20, 3 players) J:diamond: K:heart: 7:heart:
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (€7.20, 3 players) Q:diamond:
SB checks, BB bets €5.40, Hero calls €5.40, SB calls €5.40

River: (€23.40, 3 players) 6:club:
SB checks, BB bets €11.00, Hero calls €11.00, fold

His line doesn't make any sense to me here, if he had a hand he would surely bet it big for value on such a drawy board, also I'm sure he would cbet the draws as well. So I can't put him on anything but air and maybe some diamond draw spiked on the turn, or T9/AT I guess and I call.

Should I raise here hoping to get value from the 67/2 guy (but I was afraid a bet and raise before him will scare him off) or from the BB if he's drawing, or call or fold?

For the river I feel stupid for not shoving to be honest, no matter the outcome he's not going to fold for 6 more in a 45 euro pot, and if I'm ahead of his betting range it's an easy shove.
 
P

Poker Sucks

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Would 4 betting against his squeeze be a mistake here? I really don't like QJo in a 3 bet pot - even if it is a squeeze from an aggressive blind... Maybe I'm wrong.

Everything in me makes me want to raise the turn because our hand is decent but vulnerable on this board, especially if the SB come's along, which looking at his stats is very likely. Not that I don't want him to come along... I'd just rather charge him more since there's a good chance he has some kind of draw on this board and is willing to pay.
 
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ComplexPlaya

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Would 4 betting against his squeeze be a mistake here? I really don't like QJo in a 3 bet pot - even if it is a squeeze from an aggressive blind... Maybe I'm wrong.

Everything in me makes me want to raise the turn because our hand is decent but vulnerable on this board, especially if the SB come's along, which looking at his stats is very likely. Not that I don't want him to come along... I'd just rather charge him more since there's a good chance he has some kind of draw on this board and is willing to pay.

I think 4betting is a mistake here since he's shown he's capable of shoving light (he probably doesn't think of it as light and thinks AJo is an awesome hand tho)

I don't really mind a 3-way pot with QJo IP with those guys. I am assuming he will bluff less with the drooler in the pot, at least on the flop or something.

You might be correct about the turn raise though, I guess I was scared of his 3/4 bet size which is usually for value. So I guess I should've shoved given the pot size. Do you agree with my logic that this has to be mostly air from him though?
 
bgomez89

bgomez89

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FD/SD + pair combos would make sense on the turn too. I think maybe raising the turn for value could be the best option but I think in practice i would call like you did because the 3/4 bet does seem sort of scary
 
forsakenone

forsakenone

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yes, i agree with raising the turn, or shoving the river if you decide to call.
 
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