$20 NLHE 6-max: 2 Pair Min Raised Vs Double

Jurn8

Jurn8

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$20 NL HE 6-max: 2 Pair Min Raised Vs Double

Sample = 159 hands

Folds Cbet - 0
Folds To Steal = 78

Villian here seems nit like but over a smallish sample, I bet the turn hard because he doesn't like to fold to cbets so I want to charge him hard for 2 streets at least plus the board just got a whole lot more draw heavy and some draws getting there and turning more equity.

When he min raises my double I am really struggling to put him on a range that I beat, J10, KQ, 99, 22, but I just dont think he raises worse here, especially like KJh/QJh I am not sure how he plays draws so I dont know if he raises my cbet with like 10J/ or gutters K10 etc.

It feels dirty folding here but think it's best play right?

IPoker Network $20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 578399
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP: $21.18
CO: $17.93
BTN: $4.30
Hero (SB): $37.12
BB: $21.28
UTG: $11.22

Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is SB with Q :club: 9 :club:
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, BB calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.20) 9 :heart: 2 :diamond: Q :heart: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.80, BB calls $0.80

Turn: ($2.80) K :club: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.60, BB raises to $5.60, Hero??
 
F Paulsson

F Paulsson

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My biggest concern here is that you're against some kind of defensive raise versus a hand like KJ or even a slowplayed AA/AK preflop. Then there's the risk of air just taking a stab. Weighing that against 22/99/KQ/K9/JT is hard to gauge. You can at least toy with the idea of calling with the intention of folding the river unimproved, because I think most of the range that you beat will give up if you call the turn. Quite possibly parts of his range that beats you, too.
 
Jurn8

Jurn8

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right there is simply just 0 value in jamming or raising here?
 
F Paulsson

F Paulsson

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right there is simply just 0 value in jamming or raising here?
Definitely no value in jamming or raising. Your equity is lower than 50% against his raising range (if it isn't, I'd be surprised), and he's not folding anything but whatever air he might have in his range. What's keeping you from folding is the fact that you're getting 3.5:1 (or whatever it is) - don't put in more money than you absolutely have to when you're a dog to his range.
 
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