This is a discussion on $2 NLHE Full Ring: Set on a scary flop within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; Villain is UTG, Hero is Button. Effective stacks are 200bb
Villain raise 3bb, hero calls with 10s10c, everyone else folds.
Flop comes 10d Jh Qs
Villain bets 4.3bb,
How often is the hero beat on the turn here, do we shove or are we beat too often to continue. I don't think we can call here as if we do we we aren't really folding any rivers as we are too deep. Should have gotten it in on the flop if we thought we had the best hand, rather than waiting for the turn, how often are we beat on the flop?
14th June 2016, 11:14 PM
I am never raising this flop with bottom set, especially 200bb deep. He has all combos of AK/QQ/JJ in his range, and if we get it in we are dead. Call down and make a decision on the river.
15th June 2016, 9:23 AM
Poker at: Pokerstars
Game: Texas Holdem
Full ring UTG?
His range is going to be about 99+/AQs+/AKo.
You beat 6 combos of 99 (and those are giving up when you call their c-bet), 6 combos of KK, 6 combos of AA and 3 combos of AQs.
You lose to 3 combos of JJ, 3 combos of QQ, and 16 combos of AK.
Despite having a set, this is a WA/WB situation. Just get to showdown cheaply. Bet if he shows weakness, but as long as he bets, just call. Don't raise!