LD1977
Legend
Silver Level
UTG: $1.28
UTG+1: $2.26
UTG+2: $2.15
MP1: $5.73
MP2: $0.80
CO: $1.90
Hero (BTN): $2.21
SB: $0.98
BB: $2.67
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with A :club: 5 :club:
UTG calls $0.02, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.02, 1 fold, BB checks
Flop: ($0.07) 9 :club: 7 :club: K :diamond: (3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $0.04, BB folds, UTG calls $0.04
Turn: ($0.15) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.09, UTG calls $0.09
River: ($0.33) T :club: (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.19, UTG raises to $0.38, Hero raises to $2.06 all in, UTG calls $0.75 all in
Ignore the limp, it is not relevant for what I want to know.
UTG is 19 / 2 / 1 (25%), 58 hands. Weekish looking tight passive, no special reads.
He minraises the river and although the board is paired I decide to shove. Now I am thinking if this is +EV or not.
Reasons I shoved:
1. I think he calls with all flush draws that just hit the river (lets say that possible hands are KQ, KJ, KT, QJ, QT, JT = 6 hands).
2. He could have 99 (3 combos) or 77 (1 combo).
3. 6 > 4
The 6 FD combos I mention are likely the maximum possible so I might be too optimistic. Does he limp UTG T9s, 98s? Probably not.
Opinions?
UTG+1: $2.26
UTG+2: $2.15
MP1: $5.73
MP2: $0.80
CO: $1.90
Hero (BTN): $2.21
SB: $0.98
BB: $2.67
Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with A :club: 5 :club:
UTG calls $0.02, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.02, 1 fold, BB checks
Flop: ($0.07) 9 :club: 7 :club: K :diamond: (3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $0.04, BB folds, UTG calls $0.04
Turn: ($0.15) 7 :diamond: (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.09, UTG calls $0.09
River: ($0.33) T :club: (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.19, UTG raises to $0.38, Hero raises to $2.06 all in, UTG calls $0.75 all in
Ignore the limp, it is not relevant for what I want to know.
UTG is 19 / 2 / 1 (25%), 58 hands. Weekish looking tight passive, no special reads.
He minraises the river and although the board is paired I decide to shove. Now I am thinking if this is +EV or not.
Reasons I shoved:
1. I think he calls with all flush draws that just hit the river (lets say that possible hands are KQ, KJ, KT, QJ, QT, JT = 6 hands).
2. He could have 99 (3 combos) or 77 (1 combo).
3. 6 > 4
The 6 FD combos I mention are likely the maximum possible so I might be too optimistic. Does he limp UTG T9s, 98s? Probably not.
Opinions?
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