T
Tricky123bet
Rock Star
Silver Level
$2 NLHE Full Ring: Lead, check-raise or check-call flop with top pair and nut flush draw?
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 32/23/3
pokerstars - $0.02 Ante $0.01 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
MP+2: 91 BB (VPIP: 29.76, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 2.44, hands: 84)
CO: 95.5 BB (VPIP: 31.58, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
BTN: 148 BB (VPIP: 32.35, PFR: 22.55, 3Bet Preflop: 9.30, Hands: 102)
SB: 156.5 BB (VPIP: 16.98, PFR: 11.37, 3Bet Preflop: 2.50, Hands: 213)
BB: 90.5 BB (VPIP: 19.72, PFR: 11.16, 3Bet Preflop: 3.26, Hands: 432)
UTG: 64 BB (VPIP: 31.03, PFR: 5.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 88)
UTG+1: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 35.56, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 90)
MP: 131.5 BB (VPIP: 25.26, PFR: 16.58, 3Bet Preflop: 2.63, Hands: 194)
Hero (MP+1): 250 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, 9 players post ante of 0.5 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 6 BB) Hero has Td Ad
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 7 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 3 BB
Flop : (20 BB, 2 players) Ah 5d 6d
Hero checks, BTN bets 13 BB, Hero raises to 35 BB, BTN raises to 140.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 105.5 BB
Turn : (301 BB, 2 players) 2h
River : (301 BB, 2 players) Kc
Hero shows Td Ad (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 32%, Flop 48%, Turn 27%)
BTN shows As Jc (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 68%, Flop 52%, Turn 73%)
BTN wins 290.5 BB
Note that this is a table with antes.
So on the flop I have to choose from leading, check-raising or check-calling. Which one would you choose and why? Which option do you not like?
I chose to check-raise and call a shove. I wasn't sure about the call afterwards, but looking it up in an equity calculator I can see that I have around 48% against all the better aces AK, AQ, AJ, A6 and A5, which is a total of 36 combos. There are at most 7 combos that crush me, AA, 66 and 55 where I have a little less than 30%. I have about 45% equity against this range of 43 combos and I need 35% for a call, making it +EV.
Interesting to hear what you think.
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 32/23/3
pokerstars - $0.02 Ante $0.01 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
MP+2: 91 BB (VPIP: 29.76, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 2.44, hands: 84)
CO: 95.5 BB (VPIP: 31.58, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
BTN: 148 BB (VPIP: 32.35, PFR: 22.55, 3Bet Preflop: 9.30, Hands: 102)
SB: 156.5 BB (VPIP: 16.98, PFR: 11.37, 3Bet Preflop: 2.50, Hands: 213)
BB: 90.5 BB (VPIP: 19.72, PFR: 11.16, 3Bet Preflop: 3.26, Hands: 432)
UTG: 64 BB (VPIP: 31.03, PFR: 5.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 88)
UTG+1: 110.5 BB (VPIP: 35.56, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 90)
MP: 131.5 BB (VPIP: 25.26, PFR: 16.58, 3Bet Preflop: 2.63, Hands: 194)
Hero (MP+1): 250 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, 9 players post ante of 0.5 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 6 BB) Hero has Td Ad
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, BTN raises to 7 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 3 BB
Flop : (20 BB, 2 players) Ah 5d 6d
Hero checks, BTN bets 13 BB, Hero raises to 35 BB, BTN raises to 140.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 105.5 BB
Turn : (301 BB, 2 players) 2h
River : (301 BB, 2 players) Kc
Hero shows Td Ad (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 32%, Flop 48%, Turn 27%)
BTN shows As Jc (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 68%, Flop 52%, Turn 73%)
BTN wins 290.5 BB
Note that this is a table with antes.
So on the flop I have to choose from leading, check-raising or check-calling. Which one would you choose and why? Which option do you not like?
I chose to check-raise and call a shove. I wasn't sure about the call afterwards, but looking it up in an equity calculator I can see that I have around 48% against all the better aces AK, AQ, AJ, A6 and A5, which is a total of 36 combos. There are at most 7 combos that crush me, AA, 66 and 55 where I have a little less than 30%. I have about 45% equity against this range of 43 combos and I need 35% for a call, making it +EV.
Interesting to hear what you think.