$2 NLHE Full Ring: JJ faces very wet board, makes OESD on turn vs fish
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF):
I'm playing OOP vs a super fish (37/1/1). He calls my flop bet, and the turn puts the flush on the board but also gives me a OESD w/ a pair.
What can I give the fish credit for if he bets here? Do I have to NOT count my draw outs bc of the possible flush (let alone higher straight)? With a AF of 1, I'm inclined to say a bet means he got there, even if we went in w/ any two hearts. With a VPIP of 37, Stove is saying if he holds at least one heart I'm ~41% to win.
Let's say it's we check and a blank comes one the river? Do I get there? I never seem to get this kind of play right vs fish who play ATC in this kind of situation.
Full Tilt Poker
$0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos
Hand History Converter (http://www.handconverter.com/)
Hero (UTG+1): $2.08
($0.03) Hero is UTG+1 with J
, Hero raises to $0.08
, 3 folds
, BTN calls $0.08, 2 folds
($0.19) 8[image: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/images/smilies/heart.gif] K[image: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/images/smilies/heart.gif] Q[image: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/images/smilies/club.gif] (2 players)
Hero bets $0.14
, BTN calls $0.14
($0.47) T[image: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/images/smilies/heart.gif] (2 players)