$2 NLHE Full Ring: Jacks in 3bet pot on a very drawy board facing big bets

Full Tilt - $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em (9 players)
Full Tilt Hand Converter Tool from CardsChat.com

SB: $2.48
BB: $1.66
UTG: $3.73
UTG+1: $7.07
MP: $3
MP+1 Hero: $2
MP+2: $2.48
CO: $2.27
BTN: $4.45

Pre-flop: ($0.05) Hero is MP+1 and dealt
2 folds, MP checks, Hero raises to $0.09, MP+2 calls $0.09, MP folds

Flop: ($0.23) (2 players)
Hero bets $0.16, MP+2 calls $0.16

Turn: ($0.55) (2 players)
Hero checks, MP+2 bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

River: ($1.55) (2 players)
Hero checks, MP+2 bets $1.55, Hero???


Villain is a standard tag, maybe a tad too aggressive.

Bet turn?

im gonna guess he def had a 4 or the flush here.

bgomez89 said:

Bet turn?

Click to expand...

And when he raises? 80% of villains raise in this spot.

PattyR said:

im gonna guess he def had a 4 or the flush here.

Click to expand...

+1

I don't think villans at 2nl are capable of bluffing here.

_dogmeat said:

And when he raises? 80% of villains raise in this spot.

Click to expand...

Lol can I see some proof?

bgomez89 said:

Lol can I see some proof?

Click to expand...

At least I think they would. Wouldn't they? Maybe not double barrel on river, but I think most players would raise this turn, or at least the river. Or am I way off on this?

P.S. Consider he's a somewhat good, thinking TAG player (I know, an oxymoron at the micros, but still).

_dogmeat said:

At least I think they would. Wouldn't they? Maybe not double barrel on river, but I think most players would raise this turn, or at least the river. Or am I way off on this?

P.S. Consider he's a somewhat good, thinking TAG player (I know, an oxymoron at the micros, but still).

Click to expand...

TAGs usually don't have a 4 here and it's hard to flop a flush so by raising turn hes repping sets. However, flopped sets would usually raise the flop because you could have over pairs+fd or over cards with a fd and he could get value out of you there so we almost can discount sets. Also when you 2 barrel here your range is a lot stronger and hed be pretty retarded to raise his middle pairs(unless he has some kind of note on you that says you like to b/f turns) since we probably jam all our over cards/ pairs that have a fd in it.
Basically what I'm saying is i don't think that we're getting raised to often on the turn and if we do, he probably has it

seems like a good barrel/barrel/shove hand

bgomez89 said:

TAGs usually don't have a 4 here and it's hard to flop a flush so by raising turn hes repping sets. However, flopped sets would usually raise the flop because you could have over pairs+fd or over cards with a fd and he could get value out of you there so we almost can discount sets. Also when you 2 barrel here your range is a lot stronger and hed be pretty retarded to raise his middle pairs(unless he has some kind of note on you that says you like to b/f turns) since we probably jam all our over cards/ pairs that have a fd in it.
Basically what I'm saying is i don't think that we're getting raised to often on the turn and if we do, he probably has it

Click to expand...

Yeah, I guess you're right. He had air. I put myself in a tough spot by checking and giving him a chance to bluff when my hand was marginal at best.

not really, river is a snap call imo. I just am not sure you got max value based on your line