$2 NLHE Full Ring: How to extract the most out of a nit holding an over pair at the very least, deep?
It's funny, nits are the most interesting and most easiest to read.
I had only 100 or so hands on the guy, but he bought in for maximum which is always great and I'd been involved in several pots prior to him. I always made sure I had position on him and I knew his range was really tight. He had something ridic like 10/7 or something and I'd taken a few pots down vs him in position a few times before. Quite a predictable sort of player, can't let go of top pair good kicker on a wet board etc but could make lay downs if I was overly aggressive.
I'd say for example in the cutoff/button he's only raising a9s+ 10's+ and very tight in earlier positions.
Anyway, this hand cropped up. Again a rather large raise by him and a questionable call by me but with the effective deep stacks with 300/250bb each I knew I could take a vast majority of his chips if he had an over pair, so I elected to call and see a flop.
Anyway, a dream flop or maybe even bad flop in terms of how nitty he was, I guess it's very easy to say he could have A,Kd here and I'd have a tough time getting away from it.
Anyway, he bets into me so at this point I know he has to have an overpair but elected just to call and on the turn when he bets, I repop him just to see what he does. When he flat calls, I'm a bit sceptical but I don't put him on diamonds, I put him on Aces/Kings,A,K (maybe back door flush) "Maybe" a set.. quite certain he doesn't hold diamonds here especially with his check on the river I'm now quite close to 100% sure he has a big over pair at the least.
With this in mind, I sat there wondering and tanked a little while on how to play this hand now as both deep, I'm unsure if he would call a shove on the river here, what do you think? I feel he wants to get to showdown but unsure of how I can extract most value you here. I'm nearly 100% sure I have the best hand yet struggled to know how to play the river here? Maybe it's because I've never played 200/300blinds deep before and usually only 100bblinds deep..
What sort of bet do you think he would call holding Top pair, TK? Or Kings.Aces for example? Do you think he can call a shove? 1/2 pot bet? 3/4 pot bet?
Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com)
Hero (BB) ($5.91)
: Hero is BB with 10
, MP3 calls $0.02, 2 folds
, SB bets $0.12
, Hero calls $0.10, MP3 calls $0.10
: ($0.36) 7
, J (3 players)
SB bets $0.24
, Hero calls $0.24, 1 fold
: ($0.84) A (2 players)
SB bets $0.56
, Hero raises to $1.50
, SB calls $0.94
: ($3.84) 6 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero ??