Originally Posted by pocketehs
Thanks! That is great help.
However, since we missed the flush on the turn - we obv re-eval our odds to call on the turn bet? If so then let me try...
Pot=0.27 w bet=0.16. We need to call .16 to win .43 which is
~2.7/1 or 37%. Our odds of hitting our nut flush are still 18%. So our turn call is bad?
The bet on the turn was really small, only 8c.
So pot is 27c plus his 8c bet. So you are calling 8c into 35c, which is a little less than 25%, although you only have an 18% chnace of hitting your flush, you may be able to get paid on the river.
So river pot will be 43c you might get another 30c if he c/c or folds to a raise etc.
So the river value would give you the implied odds to make the call. Normally a bet would be larger than the one the villain has made. The bets look really weak so I would have raised.
Most players when in position will raise a straight or flush draw, this is because it not only gives them a better chance of stacking an opponent, but because it obviously has fold equity, so you can take down the pot straight away.