$2 NLHE Full Ring: AJh in BB vs fish and nut FD on flop

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Grinder888

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Although a small sample size but the villain looks fishy with that VP. 3Bet to take initiative although AJ is not my fav hand. Flop is a good flush draw but I didn't see he doesn't fold much to cbets. More for the pot I guess. Bet 2 full streets as I could easily have AK here as well but strangely villain called both. Now in hind sight I should have slowed turn or river but I made the fish move in my books by bluffing on a busted draw and ESP TO A FISH. How would you play this or dig yourself out of this hole?

888 Poker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

MP: 126.5 BB (VPIP: 17.78, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 46)
CO: 52.5 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
BTN: 155.5 BB (VPIP: 67.86, PFR: 17.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
SB: 55 BB (VPIP: 32.53, PFR: 13.41, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 84)
Hero (BB): 112.5 BB (VPIP: 9, PFR: 6, 3Bet Preflop: 4, Hands: 38)
UTG: 163 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 17.14, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 210)
UTG+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.75, PFR: 6.51, 3Bet Preflop: 1.92, Hands: 171)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Ah Jh
fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, fold, Hero raises to 8 BB, BTN calls 5.5 BB

Flop : (16.5 BB, 2 players) Kh 3h 7c
Hero bets 12 BB, BTN calls 12 BB

Turn : (40.5 BB, 2 players) 9c
Hero bets 40.5 BB, BTN calls 40.5 BB

River : (121.5 BB, 2 players) 4d
Hero bets 52 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 52 BB
 
M

MinhANguyen

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I think you should bet the flop like 55%. This is pretty standard sizing in a 3-bet pot, as the pot is already bloated. Itms also pretty dry, so you don't need to bomb it like you did. Betting turn is good too to get him to fold 88/1010-QQ. Although I'd size it 50-55%; a pot-sized bet is too large. You still have good equity against his range. As played, check back the river. He's pretty much never folding a K here, especially when he needs to call 55ish to win almost 180bb. Still checking river with suggested bet sizings though.

In general though, it is not good to fire off on blanks, especially as a third barrel.
 
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Grinder888

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I think you should bet the flop like 55%. This is pretty standard sizing in a 3-bet pot, as the pot is already bloated. Itms also pretty dry, so you don't need to bomb it like you did. Betting turn is good too to get him to fold 88/1010-QQ. Although I'd size it 50-55%; a pot-sized bet is too large. You still have good equity against his range. As played, check back the river. He's pretty much never folding a K here, especially when he needs to call 55ish to win almost 180bb. Still checking river with suggested bet sizings though.

In general though, it is not good to fire off on blanks, especially as a third barrel.

+1 Thanks! Appreciate the input. I think I know this at some level but I just cant seem to help that in a few certain hands I go off rails with my barreling. Even though I have it in my sticky notes "not to bluff the micros" especially against a fish.
 
Omahahahaha

Omahahahaha

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your reasoning for three betting is specious. you three bet to take the initiative? by that logic your three bet % should be 100%. Against a maniac raiser you could three bet here for value.

The flop is a nice spot to bet of course. big hand and can happily stack off. could check raise or check call also. all viable options, some might be better than others vs different player profile.

on the turn, what do you think it is likely he has and what do you think he will do with those likely holdings?
 
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