$2 NLHE Full Ring: Is this a fold every time?

twoturntablez

twoturntablez

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 39/17/33

poker stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $3.27
SB: $1.31
BB: $2.11
UTG: $0.78
Hero (UTG+1): $3.38
UTG+2: $2.03
MP1: $4.17
MP2: $0.82
CO: $1.00

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG+1 with 9 9
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.08, 5 folds, SB calls $0.07, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.18) 7 9 8 (2 players)
SB bets $0.10, Hero raises to $0.45, SB calls $0.35

Turn: ($1.08) J (2 players)
SB bets $0.78 all in

Turn is so ugly are we giving up and waiting till next time here?
 
JDAWG5

JDAWG5

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Yea, I hate spots like this, they really suck.

I think you have to fold it.

Just a very unlucky hand for you.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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I raise the flop bigger.

Also, call the turn. We have a 3.5:1 chance of making a full house, and we're getting 2.4:1. We don't need our opponent to be shoving A9, a set, or two pair very often for this to be a profitable call. And against a spazz-fish like this guy, I'm finding a call here.

I generally dislike poker platitudes, but my two favorites are "dont fold sets" and "LAGs get paid". They both apply here.
 
bgomez89

bgomez89

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Yeah I don't know if I'm going to fold here but definitely raise that flop more to at least .55
 
funkywhiteboy78

funkywhiteboy78

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It's so hard to get away from the set when u have that much committed to the pot, but with the straight and flush both out there, i'd probably have folded. a spewmaster like the villain prob isn't gonna fold to any kind of a raise, and the chance of him either having u beat or rivering u are too great, imho. but what do i know? spots like this are the absolute bane of my existence...lol.i think an argument could be made for either the call OR the fold. someone suggested firing more at the flop, but if the villain went all in anyway wouldn't that be just juicing up the pot for a probable loss? with that flop texture, i'd only have raised more if i thought i could induce a fold. is my thinking here to "scaredy cat"?
 
twoturntablez

twoturntablez

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Well im wondering a little about the raise on the flop. I had it in my head that this would be a good amount to charge the draws, however looking at it I game him 3:1 enough for flush and straight draws to come along i guess. He had AQ of spades.
 
oacnaf

oacnaf

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Yeah this is a tough situation.. the flop is extremely bittersweet to begin with, SB half pot raise followed by Hero's re-raise can give him some info regarding the possibility of improving your hand.. the turn wins it for SB, but if he really had a high flush or the 10Q you think he should have made a smaller bet to increase the pot? Or is that too dangerous considering any card on the board pairing would give Hero the full house..
 
youregoodmate

youregoodmate

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Its close but i doubt hes shoving without the flush, not getting the odds so close your eyes and fold. (make sure you dont press call with your eyes closed though)
 
S

swingro

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There are too many draws there. But i do not fold sets untill i see 4 cards of the same collor on the board. Maybe if it was deeeper.
 
JOEBOB69

JOEBOB69

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Its close but i doubt hes shoving without the flush, not getting the odds so close your eyes and fold. (make sure you dont press call with your eyes closed though)
Not only a flush Tx would make this move also.And it is the best card in the deck to bluff at.Of course the action pre and on the flop make in unlikely.
 
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