$2 NLHE Full Ring: 2nd set on the river vs aggro villain

Luvart

Luvart

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Check this hand guys: BTN (BTN): 125 BB SB (SB): 100.5 BB BB (BB): 86.5 BB Hero (UTG): 160.5 BB UTG+1 (UTG+1): 100 BB MP (MP): 229 BB MP+1 (MP+1): 164.5 BB MP+2 (MP+2): 154.5 BB CO (CO): 120 BB (VPIP: 33, PFR: 33, 3Bet Preflop: 66.67, hands: 9) SB posts 0.5 BB, BB posts 1 BB -Preflop: Dealt to Hero: Jc J s Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 7.5 BB -Flop (21.5 BB): Kc 5h 7d Hero checks, CO bets 10.5 BB, Hero calls 10.5 BB -Turn (42.5 BB): 2h Hero checks, CO bets 20.5 BB, Hero calls 20.5 BB -River (83.5 BB): Jd Hero…..? Tough spot for me. Villain's preflop stats give me a first fishy sign of semi-retardation although I have only 9 hands. With that stats I couldn't click the fold button both on the flop and turn with my 2nd pair, although his 50% cbets are screaming "Come on man, you can't fold here. This is my spot!".....all around...... Opinions please.
 
Last edited:
Luvart

Luvart

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I don't know why my opening post is so awful.

I post the hand again.

Check this hand guys:

BTN (BTN): 125 BB
SB (SB): 100.5 BB
BB (BB): 86.5 BB
Hero (UTG): 160.5 BB
UTG+1 (UTG+1): 100 BB
MP (MP): 229 BB
MP+1 (MP+1): 164.5 BB
MP+2 (MP+2): 154.5 BB
CO (CO): 120 BB (VPIP: 33, PFR: 33, 3Bet Preflop: 66.67, Hands: 9)

SB posts 0.5 BB, BB posts 1 BB


-Preflop: Dealt to Hero:Jc J s

Hero
raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 7.5 BB

-Flop (21.5 BB):Kc 5h 7d

Hero
checks, CO bets 10.5 BB, Hero calls 10.5 BB

-Turn (42.5 BB):
2h

Hero
checks, CO bets 20.5 BB, Hero calls 20.5 BB

-River (83.5 BB): Jd

Hero…..?
 
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Gabe16

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If V is aggro (its hard to tell over 10 hands. This could easily be a heater, I sat down at a table yesterday and ran 40/33 ish over 20 hands with legit reasoning. By 40 hands I was still 33/29 or close. By the end of the session I was 21/18 which is still high for me. I play full ring) and we expect V to have lots of air that bluffs this river but folds to a donk then check raise.

If they’re likely to have a lot of marginal pairs that’ll call but check through on the river which I tend to believe here a donk bet is in order.

Combos that beat us 3 (KK)
Our hand gets value from (AA, AK, KQ, KJ, K10, sets 77, 55, 22 and possibly a sticky QQ) 55 combos
Fold out all unmade hands.

By now the pots bigger than V’s stack and a nice 1/2 pot bet should get called enough by the lower end of V’s betting range while letting the stronger Kx and possible set part raise to make betting optimal compared to checking.
 
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