$2 NLHE 6-max: Overpair river decision on coordinated/paired board

Q

quant1986

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888Poker Snap, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

UTG: $1.00 (50 bb)
MP (Hero): $1.53 (77 bb)
CO: $0.78 (39 bb)
BU: $1.11 (56 bb)
SB: $6.14 (307 bb)
BB: $3.03 (152 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP with Q Q
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.05, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.05, 2 players fold

Flop: ($0.13) T 4 J (2 players)
Hero bets $0.10, BTN calls $0.10

Charging for straight, flush draws, and Tx,Jx

Turn: ($0.33) T (2 players)
Hero bets $0.15, BTN calls $0.15

less than half-pot to get value from KJ,AJ and keep draws in

River: ($0.63) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.81 (all-in), Hero ?

Not sure bet-fold or check-call is preferable.
It does look like a good board to induce busted draws to bluff.


Villain is an unknown.

Villain has AcQh
 
G

Gabe16

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It’s odd. Villain had the chance to raise you on the turn with Tx, didn’t then shoves when you show weakness.

Our pot odds are around 36%?

We can fold some hands here. I’m not sure this is one of them, from a balanced point of view our mdf is 45% so if QQ is in the top 40% of our range we then in theory we should call.

Asking questions helps.

Can villain value bet worse hands? I think at some frequency Jx might think it’s ahead. So it can’t be a bad call.

Does villain get here with air? Yeah for sure. Another nudge to call. At this point I’m calling.
 
G

Gabe16

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And on the lines. We’re To shirt to bet fold. Even 1/3 pot commits us. I think it’s close between a check or a bet.
 
T

Tuan

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In this spot, we have to count out his value combos versus his bluff combos. First, I don't think BTN would slow play big hand like Set and 2 Pairs and overpair on this dangerous board; but I can be wrong because at this level, people like to trap and slow play big hands. So after calculation, his bluff combos should outweigh his value combos; therefore, I would call his shove on this river. Again we could be wrong, but we can't fold here; we beat a lot of his holdings.
 
C

cs_rlewis

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I'd call here
Villain is shoving for just over pot.
If he has a T then so be it. But he could also be doing this with busted draws or even a J
Check call is definitely the right play here.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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This is textbook. All the draws missed, and we checked to induce a bluff from our opponent that likely now has air with a missed draw. Snap call, fist pump. If he has Tx, it's a cooler.

Bet a bit more on the turn, so a river pot sized bet is a shove, and because draws will call still.

Also, given stack sizes, make your preflop raise a bit more. You can get a good SPR for an overpair with a single raise.
 
Last edited:
M

micromoi

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u did put yourself on a tough spot, u have to bet big with big hands you need to build pots. preflop 4bb minimum the flop too 3/4 pot or more(your bet there is ok) on the turn if you fear a 10 then check for pot control. the river move all in from vilain on the micros is most of the time the nuts i see him having full or minimum a 10. for me it's a fold.
lets see the spoiler, AQo great four you man nice call, i think would still find it hard to call there.
 
John A

John A

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Pretty straight forward river check when draws missed followed by a snap call to the shove.
 
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