$2 NLHE 6-max: OOP with top pair top kicker.

CaneLepus

CaneLepus

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Hey guys! I feel like flop and turn are pretty straight forward value bets but when the river came and completed any flush draws I got to wonder, how often does villain choose to go down this line with a draw?

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 133 BB (VPIP: 36.78, PFR: 27.59, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 91)

CO: 107 BB (VPIP: 29.00, PFR: 23.00, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 102)

BTN: 92 BB (VPIP: 21.37, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 118)

Hero (SB): 134 BB

BB: 104 BB (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 20.59, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 35)

UTG: 104.5 BB (VPIP: 23.73, PFR: 13.56, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 61)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A K

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5 BB, 2 players) 2 K 9
Hero bets 3.5 BB, BB calls 3.5 BB

Turn: (12 BB, 2 players) 4
Hero bets 7.5 BB, BB calls 7.5 BB

River: (27 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero ?
 
mrgupta

mrgupta

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You should bet the river too, it's a pretty straight forward 3 barrel for me. The flush that got there is only a backdoor flush, meaning there are fewer hand combinations someone would get to by the river, let's say something like Kx of clubs - KcQc, KcJc, KcTc, Kc8c, middle pair with clubs - Tc9c, 9c8c and club gutshots - JcTc, QcJc, QcTc). On the other hand, people at NL2 will happily call any top pair, any Kx, so the good outweighs the bad and there are more Kx combinations than backdoor flush combinations.
 
Q

quant1986

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I will bet/fold river here. Villain could have some KcXc, 9cXc combos but there are many more Kx combos you can get values from
 
C

cs_rlewis

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Betting and checking are both fine.
Checking ensures you get to a showdown, provided villain doesn't blast it.
If you check and villain bets pot or more it's probably a fold.
 
John A

John A

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Bets 16.

You should check the turn there a large percentage of the time in a BvB situation. If it checks through then you can bet river large.
 
CaneLepus

CaneLepus

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Bets 16.

You should check the turn there a large percentage of the time in a BvB situation. If it checks through then you can bet river large.
Hi John! Thanks for your answer. Im a little curious on how you justify the turn check due to the fact that its best too build the pott while the board is still safe and you dont want to give villain a good price on any draws?
 
Z

zuker

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bet 1/3..1/2 pot on river and fold on raise. it much frequently will be set than flash
 
F

fundiver199

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Especially at 2NL this seem like a pretty standard bet-fold spot. His range should be very wide from defending against an undersized SB open, and on the river you are still ahead of the range, he will call with. If he can have K7, then he can also have K8 and make a bad call. You mostly lose to sets and some weird flushes, that he backdoored into, but still it would be fine to fold to a raise. At 2NL you dont see to many people raising the river as a bluff, so no need to be a big hero.
 
VisionNutz

VisionNutz

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Agreed follow up since you intend on playing to Win

Its a nut peddling 2 dollar micro game anyway so if ure raised ure beat.
 
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