$2 NLHE 6-max: nut flush on paired board vs river pot bet

K

kozong

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PokerStars - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 46 BB
SB: 206.5 BB
Hero (BB): 134 BB
UTG: 110 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, hands: 7)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
CO: 108 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A 7

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (12 BB, 4 players) 7 9 5
SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks

Turn: (12 BB, 4 players) 9
SB bets 5 BB, Hero calls 5 BB, fold, CO calls 5 BB

River: (27 BB, 3 players) 2
SB bets 25 BB, Hero posting new thread

do we call, raise or fold maybe?
 
Alucard

Alucard

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No full house makes sense to me in this board considering the betting & sizings by SB. Unless he's expecting many to call on the turn. I feel it's a bluff or a flush.
Unlikely he'll call a raise if he doesn't have a better hand except for a flush so a call would be my decision.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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No stats on SB? (Edit: must be zoom)

I kinda want to raise and fold to a 3bet, but that just sounds spewy to me.

I don't think we can discount a FH, given our opponent's bet size. But if you could, this becomes an easy value shove. I think 97, 99, 77, 55 are still in our opponent's range though, so I'd just call.

I kinda want to squeeze preflop, but I'm kinda loopy like that.
 
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KFlint

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Looks like a worse flush but that bet size on turn can be deceptive. Calling seems pretty trivial here.
 
Kurtimus

Kurtimus

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Well, flushes on paired boards are always a little disconcerting, but I would have a hard time folding this. He could have a worse flush, he could maybe have a straight, and he could have nothing because we haven't shown any strength ourselves yet. I can't fold the nut flush with 2:1 pot odds. Maybe if he had done something silly like shoved the whole stack I would fold.

I also don't think I can raise here. I don't expect enough worse hands to call, and a FH is definitely in his range here.

So I'm feeling pretty good about just a call here.

Maybe preflop we could have squeezed? I don't think low aces, even suited, play all that well oop in a multi-way pot. Would have to make a big 3 bet, obviously folding if we get raised. Then we're in a big pot oop though so I dunno, I guess that isn't good either.
 
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clayvision

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I agree that you had a good spot to squeeze pre, especially with your A blocker, but calling is also ok imo

as for the river play, it really just depends on what you think of your opponent, folding is completely out of the question, Calling seems to be the best play considering he made a pretty polarizing bet, seems tough to get called by worse if you raise
 
John A

John A

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I don't mind a min raise fold to a shove. It looks like a lower flush a huge % of the time or a bluff.A bluff won't over shove on a min raise, and a lower flush will make crying calls and also not over shove on a paired board.
 
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