£2 NLHE 6-max: Just what is this villain holding?!

I've been trying to figure this one out for a while after finishing this latest session and I just can't. Perhaps something like a set of 4s or 5s or perhaps 2 pair or perhaps just KX.

As played, obviously limping in from the SB shows weakness so I raised. Standard Cbet on the flop as it was relatively dry. Hit the K on the turn to follow through with the Cbet and get raised. My thinking was that the guy was just trying to scare me off and that I may have still had the best hand. I also thought that he'd likely check the river again and I'd be free to check behind or bet again but he jammed. For 200bbs total, I just couldn't make that call.

What can we put him on here? And, should I have been folding on the turn check raise really? I'm thinking that I probably should have done but with top pair and the second best kicker I felt like I was good.

(I should add that at the time I had around 10 hands or so on this guy - fishy stats showing early but still such a small sample)

IPoker Network $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2022139
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $5.03 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 3, AF: 2.7, Hands: 39020
UTG: $3.63 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 3.8, Hands: 564
CO: $0.81 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 31
BTN: $5.37 - VPIP: 52, PFR: 27, 3B: 9, AF: 2.9, Hands: 82
SB: $4.06 - VPIP: 47, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 1.1, Hands: 49

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BB with Q K
3 folds, SB calls $0.01, Hero raises to $0.10, SB calls $0.08

Flop: ($0.20) 4 5 T (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.15, SB calls $0.15

Turn: ($0.50) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.37, SB raises to $0.74, Hero calls $0.37

River: ($1.98) 7 (2 players)
SB bets $3.07, Hero folds

Could easily be a set or reasonable 2 pair. I may consider folding the turn raise but otherwise I probably take the same line.

Doubt that he is taking this line as a bluff, probably just a very weak play by 2 pair or set. Standard fold on the river here unless you have a good read on him, you played this hand optimally imo. Wouldn't fold to the turn min-raise either as this guy seems like a fish.

i'd bet smaller on the flop vs fish where balancing doesnt matter

Defo fold river, maybe fold the turn.

If I'm going to take a guess at villains hands I'd go with KT/K4s/K5s, perhaps a slowplayed 44/55.

I think you played the hand properly. You have little stats on him, so he doesn't know much about you. He's in the pot almost half the time so he's going to have a wide range. He also seems a bit like a calling station given that his PRF is low compared to his VPIP (and his AF is pretty even).

My thoughts in Bold:

Jonny03UK said:

Hero (BB): $5.03 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 13, 3B: 3, AF: 2.7, Hands: 39020
UTG: $3.63 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 3.8, Hands: 564
CO: $0.81 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 31
BTN: $5.37 - VPIP: 52, PFR: 27, 3B: 9, AF: 2.9, Hands: 82
SB: $4.06 - VPIP: 47, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 1.1, Hands: 49

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BB with Q

K

3 folds, SB calls $0.01, Hero raises to $0.10, SB calls $0.08

standard raise etc

Flop: ($0.20) 4

5

T

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.15, SB calls $0.15

His call could mean Tx, or random 2 pair if he had 4-5s. I would have imagined he'd of raise TT, 55, 44... but then again he doesn't raise much. So possible hands could be TT, 55, 44, Tx, T5s, T4s

Turn: ($0.50) K

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.37, SB raises to $0.74, Hero calls $0.37

The check raise here from a passive type of player means big and protecting to me. I doubt he would have limped the SB with AK. KT could be likely, explains the check/call on the flop.

River: ($1.98) 7

(2 players)
SB bets $3.07, Hero folds

This over bet shows he is a poor player. No flush complete, you could have a straight with 6-9, 2-3 but it would be unlikely. He looks like he wants a big pay day. Poor players don't really understand about maximizin winnings. There's no way you would have called with a weaker KT from on overbet all in.

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So, yeah, my opinion - He limped with K-T, which is likely from a limping type player. Check/called the flop to trap. Hit 2 pair on the turn so checked to trap again, then raised once you had bitten the line. Then snapped the line by getting excited on the river and asking too much from you.

As with all my hand readings, i'm probably horribly wrong hahaha.

i believe you made the right call to fold,as hard as it was,he could of had you since the flop

BLACKCHIP said:

i believe you made the right call to fold,as hard as it was,he could of had you since the flop

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Made me laugh haha hero has king high on the flop, when he is called I think its quite realistic that he is behind.

I read this guy as bluffing. He was overbetting to make you lay down a hand like kings. In reality he probably flopped tens maybe with an ace kicker, figured that he wasnt good on the river and knew that the only way for him to take down the pot would be with a large bet. I call in that spot

Jblocher1 said:

I read this guy as bluffing. He was overbetting to make you lay down a hand like kings. In reality he probably flopped tens maybe with an ace kicker, figured that he wasnt good on the river and knew that the only way for him to take down the pot would be with a large bet. I call in that spot

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Really?

I think he was just protecting his blind by calling the raise, which means he has an extremely wide range in this spot, so it is possible that he hit two pair or even a straight on the river. It was a good fold. His over aggressive shove seems to indicate that it was a strong hand and he wanted you to think it was a bluff, but perhaps I am giving him too much credit haha.