$2 NLHE 6-max: I shove with a nut flush draw on the flop

P

Papier24

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 22/20/7

No Limit Hold'em $0,01/$0,02
PokerStars
4 players
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Stacks:
UTG - UTG (
$2,24)
BTN - BTN (
$2,04)
SB - SB (
$2,47)
BB - Hero (
$2,19)

Preflop: (
$0,03, 4 players) Hero is BB with 5♠ A♠
1 fold, BTN raises to $0,05, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0,18, BTN calls $0,13

Flop:
8♠ 9♣ 7♠ ($0,37, 2 players - BTN: $1,86, Hero: $2,01)
Hero bets $0,22, BTN raises to $0,66, Hero raises to $2,01 (all-in), BTN calls $1,20 (all-in), Uncalled bet of $0,15 returned to Hero

Turn:
6♥ ($4,09, 2 players, 1 all-in - BTN: $0,00, Hero: $0,15)

River:
9♥ ($4,09, 2 players, 1 all-in - BTN: $0,00, Hero: $0,15)

Total Pot:
$4,09

I have 153 hands on villain. His 3bet % preflop is 9. Unfortunately he got only 3bet 2 times before, so I don't have any useful Fold too 3bet stats.

What do you think about my play on the flop ?

 
K

kozong

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yea i prefer jamming than calling that flop

any spades on turn/&river can kill the action if it was a call

on a side note the only hands calling our shove probly sets & straight

so yeah, its a jam/fold situation after that reraise
 
T

TryTo

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Good play. You have nuts flush-draw, gutshot and overcard. Sea of outs. Villain may have some draw too, may be weaker. And even if you stand low, you say that you are not afraid him and next time he will be less aggressive.
 
froggeedogs

froggeedogs

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think it's the only way to play that flop especially with the spade draw. definitely worth the risk.
 
Beanfacekilla

Beanfacekilla

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yea i prefer jamming than calling that flop

any spades on turn/&river can kill the action if it was a call

on a side note the only hands calling our shove probly sets & straight

so yeah, its a jam/fold situation after that reraise

I think V has alot more hands than that to call.


He is gonna have 10x a ton, like 9-10, etc. V could also have 10-10, JJ, and maybe QQ.


I don't consider our SD that valuable. The real equity probably comes from the FD/over card.


I like the play here. I may check raise instead of betting, if I feel in the moment this guy will bet the flop. I think I like that a little better because V may stab with other things and if we C/R he may actually fold and we don't have to get it in. It's not what he had this time, but what he has overall if we check vs bet.


Betting def better if we don't know for sure if he will bet or not. Just my thoughts on it. Real time dynamics play a huge role in post flop play.
 
A

Afghani84

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Nh!
By the way...his 3bet stat is irrelevant here. More interesting would be stats like fold to 3bet (as you mentioned), %steal, PFR from LP and fold to conti in 3b pots. For most of these stats you ideally need thousands of hands to be reliable though.
 
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