Originally Posted by c9h13no3
I'm fine leading the turn. The flop raise could easily be to buy a free river with a draw, and our hand improved on a blank.
When villain shoves, it looks like a bad player trapping (himself) with aces. Plus there's all manner of pair or straight draw hands that could've picked up a flush draw on the turn. I call his shove and like it.
What makes you think that the villain is ever checking back this turn after min-raising the flop? I guarantee that the villain is betting this turn 99% of the time when checked to, regardless of what the villain has. How often does a player min-raise the flop then check back the turn, especially on a wet board like this? He's going to barrel the turn, I guarantee.
It's unlikely that the villain has a draw anyway. Why is he min-raising the flop with a draw? Surely he'd raise bigger than that if he had a draw and wanted to play it aggressively? And do passive fish ever raise flops with draws anyway (remember that he open-limped the button, which means he's probably not the most aggressive player out there)?
I am fine with either a check-call or check-raise on the turn, but I still am not convinced that donk betting the turn is correct (not against this type of villain at least).
EDIT: Looking back on it, I actually wouldn't be surprised if the villain did show up with AA here, so I am calling this turn shove, as played.