$2 NLHE 6-max: Do you ever fold here?

C

Conviction07

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Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 33/31/67

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): 119.5 BB
BB: 103 BB (VPIP: 23.13, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, hands: 153)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 6.06, PFR: 6.06, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 33)
MP: 123 BB (VPIP: 23.73, PFR: 20.34, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 64)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 21.59, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 183)
BTN: 195.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 30.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A A

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, Hero raises to 13 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 10 BB

Flop: (30 BB, 2 players) 6 6 J
Hero bets 29 BB, BTN raises to 182.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 77.5 BB and is all-in

Turn: (243 BB, 2 players) 4

River: (243 BB, 2 players) Q

Hero shows A A (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes)
(Pre 81%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
BTN shows J J (Full House, Jacks full of Sixes)
(Pre 19%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
BTN wins 234.5 BB
 
TimovieMan

TimovieMan

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Over how many hands are villain's stats? They seem a little aggro-crazy, but if it's a small sample, they could be meaningless.

If over 100+ hands, then this is a call any day, imo.


Make a note that he overbet-shoves a flopped set vs the PF squeezer and c-bettor.
 
M

MinhANguyen

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Perfect spot for him to overbet shove, as your range is heavily skewed to KK-AA (you're probably not folding) when you just smash the pot button on the flop. When you pot the flop, I actually expect a decent player to be shipping in JJ or a 6 here since your hand is face-up.

As played, can't really fold. I suggest using a standard c-bet sizing as to not give away your hand strength, unless the board is soaking wet. Even then I still usually use 66-73% in single raised pots.
 
alipalip

alipalip

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I sawd many crazy hand at NL2 but i learned that after flop a raise like this always be the nuts
 
Romario2223

Romario2223

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I think there is no fold but it happend and we loose with aces
 
John A

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The long and the sort answer are - no. Never folding.
 
K

kozong

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not folding there, just unlucky
 
C

ChrisMurray

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2NL AA Hand Review

Pre-flop: So, the CO raises here, and the BTN calls. Both players have pretty wide ranges here. Squeezing is obviously standard here, I think you can make it a tad bigger though, 14-16BB. We get a fold from the CO and a call from the BTN. Let's think about a range for him that he's prepared to call a raise and a squeeze with. Let's go with 77-JJ, AQo, ATs-AQs, KTs, QJs, JTs and 65s.


Flop: It's a very dry flop. Betting the size of the pot on this flop isn't a good play. It turns your hand absolutely face-up as KK or AA and allows the BTN to play perfectly against you. I bet about 13-15 BB here. That keeps our perceived range wider, we would make that bet with AK and similar hands.
As played, there's only 6 combos he can realistically shove with here, 3 are JJ, 1 AJ and 2 65. He could occasionally be trying a really poor bluff with AQ or something, but it's unlikely. Against a tight player, we can easily get away from this, but this guy seems pretty LAG so I think we have to call. I'm not happy about it though.
I think the main error in this hand is the bet sizing on the flop. The fact he has JJ doesn't surprise me, that would be my guess. You did get unlucky though, bit of a cooler.
 
Gabinho12345

Gabinho12345

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It's hard to fold because he could have hands like QQ or AJ but I think you shouldn't bet this big on the flop.
 
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