$2 NLHE 6-max: Bloated pot to the flop with AKdd, +ev call?

BluffMeAllIn

BluffMeAllIn

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PokerStars - $0.02 Ante $0.01 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 402.5 BB
SB: 484 BB (VPIP: 56.82, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 18.18, hands: 44)
BB: 676.5 BB (VPIP: 70.99, PFR: 59.63, 3Bet Preflop: 44.07, Hands: 167)
UTG: 249 BB (VPIP: 34.87, PFR: 20.51, 3Bet Preflop: 8.24, Hands: 197)
CO: 250 BB (VPIP: 36.80, PFR: 24.00, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, Hands: 380)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, 5 players post ante of 0.5 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 4 BB) Hero has A:diamond: K:diamond:

fold, CO raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, BB calls 9 BB, CO raises to 44 BB, Hero calls 34 BB, BB calls 34 BB

Flop: (135 BB, 3 players) 7:heart: J:diamond: 8:diamond:
BB checks, CO bets 204.5 BB, Hero calls 204.5 BB, fold

***Lets assume he is allin, which I thought he was didn't notice he left 1 bb behind. Felt like a snap call situation, perhaps a high variance one but nothing has me dead in the water expecting he will turn over QQ+, AK but obv discounting KK, AA and AK given I'm holding AK. So figuring its a flip I believe most of the time and given what is already in the pot from preflop action its obv +ev to take this high variance spot maybe?
 
duggs

duggs

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PokerStars - $0.02 Ante $0.01 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 402.5 BB
SB: 484 BB (VPIP: 56.82, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 18.18, Hands: 44)
BB: 676.5 BB (VPIP: 70.99, PFR: 59.63, 3Bet Preflop: 44.07, Hands: 167)
UTG: 249 BB (VPIP: 34.87, PFR: 20.51, 3Bet Preflop: 8.24, Hands: 197)
CO: 250 BB (VPIP: 36.80, PFR: 24.00, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, Hands: 380)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, 5 players post ante of 0.5 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 4 BB) Hero has A<font color='red'>♦</font> K<font color='red'>♦</font>

fold, CO raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, fold, BB calls 9 BB, CO raises to 44 BB, Hero calls 34 BB, BB calls 34 BB

Flop: (135 BB, 3 players) 7<font color='red'>♥</font> J<font color='red'>♦</font> 8<font color='red'>♦</font>
BB checks, CO bets 204.5 BB, Hero calls 204.5 BB, fold

***Lets assume he is allin, which I thought he was didn't notice he left 1 bb behind. Felt like a snap call situation, perhaps a high variance one but nothing has me dead in the water expecting he will turn over QQ+, AK but obv discounting KK, AA and AK given I'm holding AK. So figuring its a flip I believe most of the time and given what is already in the pot from preflop action its obv +ev to take this high variance spot maybe?

yea looks like a call
 
Aces2w1n

Aces2w1n

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Just get it in!

Did he have a fold to 3bet stat???
 
Theromeo2k

Theromeo2k

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Well played hand.
 
BluffMeAllIn

BluffMeAllIn

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Nothing significant on his f3b stat and it's 0 in co and he 4bets just as often as he folds to 3bets .... but sample sizes are very small on those stats anyhow.

Yeah figured it's a clear spot to snap ..... not noticing he had 1bb behind though sucked cause obv equity is reduced when i truly gii (reason not to look at ev lines lol).
 
John A

John A

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Did you call, and then fold the turn? ;)

Yeah... easy GII spot.
 
BluffMeAllIn

BluffMeAllIn

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lol, yeah would have been quite the fold for 1bb in a 545bb pot lol .... although it sucked cause was like man now I only have one street to catch up :(.

vil had QQ in the end and he held, turn came like 2c I frowned and called the 1bb he had left and watched a blank river come up as well.
 
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