$2 NL: Pot size River Bet ???

T

TheDentist

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Have a lot of trouble with such kind of hands.... Expert opinions please.....was deliberately playing short stack strategy....

Villian - VPIP 80.0/PFR 33.3/CB% 100/3Bet% 12.5


Hand History driven straight to this forum by DriveHUD - http://drivehud.com

NL Holdem $0.02(BB)
HJ ($1.79)
CO ($2.66)
BTN ($3.65)
SB ($1.72)
BB ($1.33)
UTG ($1.73)
HERO ($1.28)
MP ($3.18)

Dealt to Hero Ad As

UTG Calls $0.02 (Rem. Stack: 1.71), HERO Raises To $0.09 (Rem. Stack: 1.19), MP Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds, UTG Calls $0.07 (Rem. Stack: 1.64)

Flop ($0.21) Qs Ac 6s
UTG Bets $0.02 (Rem. Stack: 1.62), HERO Raises To $0.08 (Rem. Stack: 1.11), UTG Calls $0.06 (Rem. Stack: 1.56)

Turn ($0.37) Qs Ac 6s 3h
UTG Checks, HERO Bets $0.20 (Rem. Stack: 0.91), UTG Calls $0.20 (Rem. Stack: 1.36)

River ($0.77) Qs Ac 6s 3h Ts
UTG Bets $0.77 (Rem. Stack: 0.59), HERO ???????
 
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mukkkkt

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Tough one. Think about what he logically has. Probably not AQ or any ace for that matter. He probably wouldn't continue with Qx and probably not KK. And hopefully not KJo chasing the straight lol. So logically it's Queens or high flush draw. You have the As so that knocks out AsJs and AsKs plus the AsQs. So if he had the flush it would be KsJs as the A Q and T are all out. He could even be set mining given his stats and the fact that he limped hoping to see a cheap flop. But he did call a raise out of position. I would put him on 66 because he bets a little first and probably is trying to trap you thinking you hit top pair or even two pair. I would have made the call and taken note of what he played with, especially if it were the weak flush draw. I'm just a beginner though (even though you said expert advice lol) so I can't really offer solid advice just doing my best to chime in haha
 
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TheDentist

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I think I made a mistake by raising very little on the flop giving flush draw to continue.... IDK..... villian's VPIP is 80%.... he can play any 2 cards..... by calling river what do I beat ?????? Straight got there.....flush got there..... is it worth calling at those odds.....?
 
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mukkkkt

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Yeah man, looking back I think the fold is right. You're right he really could play with anything even though he called the raise. Tbh he could have had 8s3s and continued with it so you're probably right with that. And yeah a bigger raise on flop would have been good probably
 
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Sidetracked

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Don't buy in short and then play short stack strategy.
 
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Dwarf

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he has 2 pair or a worse set.

call.
 
RiversRage

RiversRage

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80% VPIP tells me he chased a flush or bottom set of sixes makes sense as well with mini raise preflop. Need to know more about his fold to continuation bet or how often he makes it to showdown to know if you bet the flop more aggressively would have lead to a different result. Truly every situation and player dictate how it played and final outcomes. I think personally he hits his junk flush and it's most likely a good fold.
 
Aces2w1n

Aces2w1n

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just shove river its hard for him to have a flush utg. but who knows. but I'm shoving we have top set and all the other sets will call esp this guy

stats can lead you astray. but yeah raising too small on flop but can induce bluffs on future streets

I'm also more willing to bet more because the board is quite textured.
 
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TheDentist

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Thanks guys for your opinions .....I actually folded there.... coz I thought he is not betting pot without a flush.....
 
Andrew Popov

Andrew Popov

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You should have made a call, just to see his hand. :)
Your aces set beats a lot of what a player with such statistics will play with. There are younger sets and two pairs. But of course there may be a straight or flush - the river is terrible in this hand.
 
TheNutz4You

TheNutz4You

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tough decision against a player with those stats , but prolly made the correct fold there.
 
P

PKRNRS

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Have a lot of trouble with such kind of hands.... Expert opinions please.....was deliberately playing short stack strategy....



Villian - VPIP 80.0/PFR 33.3/CB% 100/3Bet% 12.5





Hand History driven straight to this forum by DriveHUD - http://drivehud.com



NL Holdem $0.02(BB)

HJ ($1.79)

CO ($2.66)

BTN ($3.65)

SB ($1.72)

BB ($1.33)

UTG ($1.73)

HERO ($1.28)

MP ($3.18)



Dealt to Hero Ad As



UTG Calls $0.02 (Rem. Stack: 1.71), HERO Raises To $0.09 (Rem. Stack: 1.19), MP Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds, UTG Calls $0.07 (Rem. Stack: 1.64)



Flop ($0.21) Qs Ac 6s

UTG Bets $0.02 (Rem. Stack: 1.62), HERO Raises To $0.08 (Rem. Stack: 1.11), UTG Calls $0.06 (Rem. Stack: 1.56)



Turn ($0.37) Qs Ac 6s 3h

UTG Checks, HERO Bets $0.20 (Rem. Stack: 0.91), UTG Calls $0.20 (Rem. Stack: 1.36)



River ($0.77) Qs Ac 6s 3h Ts

UTG Bets $0.77 (Rem. Stack: 0.59), HERO ???????



Your flop and turn bet are both too light. I would have bet 2/3 pot or even pot, .14-.21 bet. Again on the turn a pot size bet or even all in can be your best play. On the river you got the worst card. It completes flush and a straight draw. He only bet pot so he's put you on the draw and figures you didn't get there. He may not be paying attention. You're already pot committed so I'd just shove the rest because I'm not folding. You've already played this hand poorly and probably paid off his draw. I'm going to be ready to reload.
 
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