2/4 six-max - turn and river decisions.
PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool
from FlopTurnRiver.com (http://www.flopturnriver.com) (Format: Bet The Pot)
Villain is 50/10 over a sample of maybe 50 hands when this hand happened. He's not great, but he's not stupid either (even if he's way too lose preflop).
His flop donkbet is surprising, but when people bet into the field like this, I figure there's a pretty good chance he's trying to pump the flop on a draw (everyone and their dog have read Small Stakes Hold 'em by now). I have two overcards and a backdoor nut flush draw, and folding is out of the question on the flop, when I'm offered 9:1.
The turn is trickier. Here, I'm only getting 5:1, but now I have an inside straight draw to go with my overcards. If I'm behind, I have at the most 10 outs, and at worst I have 3. It's a dubious call, but there's still a chance that he's betting a draw, and I'm factoring that in.
Why do I call with ace high on the river? Well, here's the thing: What hands did he bet the flop with that he will bet the river with? Would he really bet a hand like 8-7 after I've called two streets? Shouldn't he be checking his mediocre hands on this river, to induce a bluff? So I thought about it for two seconds, decided that he either has a very strong hand (flopped set or two pair) or he's firing the third barrel hoping that I'll fold ace-high.
Being offered 8:1, I just had to decide if the likelyhood of him having nothing but a busted draw was greater than or equal to 1/9 = 11%. I figured it was.
I'm posting this per my promise to myself to post more hands where I find that I stop to think about a decision. The outcome is not important, but the thought process is.
Hero is Button with A♦
, MP calls, 1 fold
, Hero raises
, SB calls, BB calls, MP calls.
(8 SB) 5♣
, 10♦ (4 players)
, BB folds, MP folds, Hero calls.
(5 BB) K♥ (2 players)
, Hero calls.
(7 BB) 4♥ (2 players)
, Hero calls.