10nl. what do I do?

kingme620

kingme620

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Stacks:
* MP3 with $5.10
* CO with $19.80
* BTN with $8.25
* SB with $19.25
* BB with $5.60
* UTG with $9.85
* UTG+1 with $10.15
* MP1 with $22.85
* MP2 with $5.00

hand.pl


hand.pl

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10
Site: full tilt poker
* * Dealt to CO:6♣ 6♦
* * Sklansky group 6
Preflop:
* * MP2 checks
* * 3 players fold.
* * MP3 calls [$0.10]
* * Hero calls [$0.10]
* * BTN calls [$0.10]
* * SB calls [$0.05]
* * BB checks
* * Total folds this street: 3
* * Potsize: $0.5
Flop:
* * 5♥ 6♠ 4♠
* * SB bets [$0.80]
* * 2 players fold.
* * MP3 calls [$0.80]
* * Hero raises to $4
* * BTN raises to $8.15, and is all in
* * SB calls [$7.35]
* * 1 players fold.
* * Hero calls [$4.15]
* * Total folds this street: 3
* * Potsize: $25.75
Turn:
* * 9♥
* * SB bets [$11, and is all in]
* * Hero calls [$11]


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kingme620

kingme620

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I guess:

I should of raised less.

And the turn is terrible.

Where am I folding this?
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Nowhere. I like raising preflop, but aside from that it looks fine. Actually I jam the flop too, but the point is you're basically never folding this.
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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i raise this preflop too.

The rest is very well played, imo. There's a good chance that you are ahead all along against overpairs, two pairs and draws, and even if you're up against a made straight, your full house outs still give you 34% to win on the flop and 22% to win on the turn, which happens to be essentially the pot odds you're getting in both cases.
 
widowmaker89

widowmaker89

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I agree with the others here, raise PF and jam the flop, but not very big mistakes. One question is why do you think that is a terrible turn? 99 is the only holdings now beating you?
 
Arjonius

Arjonius

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I agree with the others here, raise PF and jam the flop, but not very big mistakes. One question is why do you think that is a terrible turn? 99 is the only holdings now beating you?
99 is the only holding that was behind on the flop and has now gone ahead. 78, 73 and 32 were ahead and remain so. And they're all possible due to the all the limpers pre-flop.
 
T

teksmith

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I'm curious as to how you came up with these figures. My off the cuff calculation somes up with 24% (6 outs 5s & 4s x 4) and 18% at the river. I would like to know your reasoning as it would appear that I am not giving myself enough odds.

i raise this preflop too.

The rest is very well played, imo. There's a good chance that you are ahead all along against overpairs, two pairs and draws, and even if you're up against a made straight, your full house outs still give you 34% to win on the flop and 22% to win on the turn, which happens to be essentially the pot odds you're getting in both cases.
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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I'm curious as to how you came up with these figures. My off the cuff calculation somes up with 24% (6 outs 5s & 4s x 4) and 18% at the river. I would like to know your reasoning as it would appear that I am not giving myself enough odds.

I used pokerstove. You calculation is off because you don't take into account an extra out for quads and 3 extra outs on the river when the turn card pairs.


On the flop:

Board: 5h 6s 4s

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.823% 34.37% 00.45% 12249 162.00 { 66 }
Hand 1: 65.177% 64.72% 00.45% 23067 162.00 { 87o }

On the turn:

Board: 5h 6s 4s 9h

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 22.727% 22.73% 00.00% 360 0.00 { 66 }
Hand 1: 77.273% 77.27% 00.00% 1224 0.00 { 87o }
 
BelgoSuisse

BelgoSuisse

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Nowhere. I like raising preflop, but aside from that it looks fine. Actually I jam the flop too, but the point is you're basically never folding this.

You jam the flop because at the stakes you play, people play draws aggressively. I'm not sure that applies to 10NL.
 
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