10NL KK facing raise on drawy flop

pokerstars Game #17055711768: Hold'em No Limit ($0.05/$0.10) - 2008/04/28 - 13:49:10 (ET)
Table 'Orsilocus' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: physio2 ($3.60 in chips)
Seat 2: maszerant ($10.40 in chips)
Seat 3: phatjose ($16.95 in chips)
Seat 5: The Kroez ($11.90 in chips)
Seat 6: fulhouse4me ($10 in chips)
Seat 7: R-Les84 ($5.65 in chips)
Seat 8: adri3 ($6.20 in chips)
Seat 9: micky341 ($11.35 in chips)
physio2: posts small blind $0.05
maszerant: posts big blind $0.10
Tasslo: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to phatjose [Ks Kc]
phatjose: raises $0.20 to $0.30
The Kroez: folds
fulhouse4me: calls $0.30
R-Les84: folds
adri3: folds
micky341: folds
physio2: folds
maszerant: folds
*** FLOP *** [Ts 9s 5c]
phatjose: bets $0.50
fulhouse4me: raises $1.50 to $2
phatjose: ??

Villain is 11/9/2.7 over ~800 hands or so. Villain will definitely set min and will call with position with suited connectors, so he could already be crushing us or on a big draw.

lose your money

I think you're pretty much all-in, and whether you're already beat on this hand or not, it's going to be a +EV move in the longterm. He could have T9 and be beating you, or even a set. But I think its much more likely he's holding a solid but foldable hand (FD/SD or even TPTK). If this was early in a tournament I would say fold because it isn't worth the risk early on, but in a cash game, I think you have to push - the flop isn't likely to have given a PF caller a monster, and more cards aren't gonna help you.

I think a shove would be a big overbet here. I'd raise to $8 here which gives opponent less than 2-1 on his money to call. If he shoves then I'd probably call as you'd have a chance to counterfeit 2P, and have some of his draw outs in your hand.

Nice Jilly...I had overlooked the draw outs.

11 over 800 hands, thats tight..and 2.7, that does not look like an opponent that will reraise on a draw. If they are not willing to ever raise preflop I don't see them reraising without a made hand.

I fold here...(saying I'm reading the stats right).