$10NL, AA, bet the turn?

NineLions

NineLions

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SB is 50/0/1.5, MP2 is 15/0/.6 over the entire session; I'm not sure what it was at the point of this hand anymore.

2 callers, both call my flop bet. Not a dangerous board, do we bet the turn? What do we expect to happen if we do or don't?


Stacks: - MP1 with $11.00 - MP2 with $9.95 - CO with $2.75 - BTN with $6.70 - SB with $3.55 - BB with $10.70 - UTG with $2.15 - UTG+1 with $8.80
index.pl

Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: pokerstars
* - Dealt to UTG+1:A♣ A♥
* - Sklansky group 1
Preflop:
**- 1 players fold.
* - UTG+1 raises $0.30 to $0.40
**- 1 players fold.
* - MP2 calls [$0.40]
**- 2 players fold.
* - SB calls [$0.35]
* - 1 players folded.
* - Total folds this street: 5
* - Potsize: $1.3
Flop:
* - Q♣ 6♠ 9♦
* - SB: checks
* - UTG+1 bets [$0.90]
**- 1 players fold.
* - MP2 calls [$0.90]
* - SB calls [$0.90]
* - Potsize: $4
Turn:
* - 3♥
* - SB: checks
* - UTG+1 ???
 
Jack Daniels

Jack Daniels

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I pot the turn for value here. You've got one loose calling station and one tight one. LOL, your SB is probably chasing straight draw and the tight calling station likely picked up AQ and got married to it. :)

But whether you pot it or bet $3, you have to bet. AA is only one pair and against two other players you're more likely to get sucked out on.
 
Lo-Dog

Lo-Dog

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^^ JD saved me a lot of typing. I agree fully. :)
 
rwilson

rwilson

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I think you definitely have to bet. The board is relatively safe for a hand like yours, rainbow, no straight possibilities yet. I'd bet pot at least here, to make them think seriously about any straight draw they may be chasing. Unless the SB is cleverly slow-playing a set by check calling to you, you should be in front. I think if the SB had of flopped a set he would most likely have check-raised on the flop, given there was two 90c callers.

Again it's hard not knowing what these people play like? Would either of these two be likely to be slow playing a set? MP could have a draw like J,10 or something, or even better top pair. The other thing, playing at micro limits like this there's a lot of people that like to play 6,9.. probably cause they've never had a root and they pretend it's their favourite hand. When I played at micro limits this was always in the back of my mind when 6,9 hit the board!! But still, apart from that, being up against two pair is very unlikely.

Anyway, I think you have to assume you're in front here and bet pot. Don't give them the odds to suck out.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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Definitely bet!

We see tons of Qx/JT/78/A9/med pairs and other weird hands that will call for value. There are really only two sets that we're afraid of, both of which are pretty unlikely (as are any weird two pairs).

Bet, and take it from there.
 
c9h13no3

c9h13no3

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Keep on betting. If they have a set or two pair (not likely) they're letting you off cheaply by not raising, and all sorts of hands we beat will keep calling here.
 
Tygran

Tygran

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Bet away.

JD nailed it 1st post...my first though was TJ and QK/AQ

could always get sucked out on vs two players or be up against a set but I think you are ahead here way more than you are behind.
 
NineLions

NineLions

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I'm kinda embarrassed; I've forgotten what I did or why exactly I posted this hand.

I'll check when I get back to my poker computer.
 
The Shrog

The Shrog

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Definatly ahead, a bet is needed.
 
zachvac

zachvac

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Wait so after 2 flat calls at 10nl you're trying to tell me you think one of them has AA beat on this board??? If the board were more scary maybe, but this is a very safe board, and unless one is slow-playing a set (or 2-pair, but that's rare), there's no way you're behind here.
 
NineLions

NineLions

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Sorry guys; finally found the hand.


Stacks: - MP1 with $11.00 - MP2 with $9.95 - CO with $2.75 - BTN with $6.70 - SB with $3.55 - BB with $10.70 - UTG with $2.15 - UTG+1 with $8.80
index.pl

Blinds: $0.00/$0.00
Site: Pokerstars
- Dealt to UTG+1:A♣ A♥
- Sklansky group 1
Preflop:
- 1 players fold.
- UTG+1 raises $0.30 to $0.40
- 1 players fold.
- MP2 calls [$0.40]
- 2 players fold.
- SB calls [$0.35]
- 1 players folded.
- Total folds this street: 5
- Potsize: $1.3
Flop:
- Q♣ 6♠ 9♦
- SB: checks
- UTG+1 bets [$0.90]
- 1 players fold.
- MP2 calls [$0.90]
- SB calls [$0.90]
- Potsize: $4
Turn:
- 3♥
- SB: checks
- UTG+1 bets [$2.50]
- MP2 raises $2.50 to $5
- 1 players fold.
- UTG+1 = ???
 
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