[10NL 6Max] AK facing Minraise on paired board

This guy is 49/17/2.1 ~150 hands, folds to cbet 44%, raises cbets 22% of the time. Another river spot I'm unsure of here. Looking back his line is pretty strange here, especially after he checks back the turn.
I had seen him turn some of his small pairs into bluffs on other hands, but only for small bets. He has only played in 40bb pots or less up until now.
Honestly don't know what I was thinking with my flop betsizing there, or if this effects the way the hand plays out. Probably got distracted or something, I would usually bet about 1.20-1.40 or so here.


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HAND #1
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party poker, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

UTG: $6.70 (67 bb)
MP: $12.15 (121.5 bb)
CO: $15.35 (153.5 bb)
BTN: $8.45 (84.5 bb)
Hero (SB): $12.65 (126.5 bb)
BB: $5.70 (57 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with A K
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.20, Hero raises to $0.80, BB folds, BTN calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.70) J J K (2 players)
Hero bets $0.80, BTN raises to $1.60, Hero calls $0.80

Turn: ($4.90) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($4.90) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6.05 and is all-in, Hero ?

This is a tough spot and also a strange hand with his minraise preflop. I think he might also have AK, because of the check on the turn and the minraise.
But I keep goin over it in my head and its a really really tough spot cause you dont have position. In the end I would probably flat the river and pray he doesnt flip AJ.

also I think this guys numbers speak of some spewtardyness...which makes me wanna call even more on the river here

jmasterrich said:

In the end I would probably flat the river and pray he doesnt flip AJ.

Click to expand...

I don't think he checks behind this turn here with a jack, although I've seen stranger things, so i won't rule that out completely.
Something like J5 might make sense though, the way he played it.

I probably call this because villain's minraise-check-overbet shove line makes no sense to me. We have to be right a lot of the time to be profitable, but I have a hard time putting villain on a strong hand unless he's backed into a flush (is he really minraising flop with something like AhTh though? i doubt it) or does have a Jx hand (most Jx hands will want to bet the turn and I don't think something like J5 raise/calls preflop).

So yeah seeing as villain is 49/17 and clearly not smart enough to be trying to confuse us on purpose, while my first instinct is naturally to fold, for better or worse I think I find myself making a herocall here.

People sometimes do this with straight draws; small raise on flop, take a free card. QT fits the bill.

Still, I make the call. We need to be right about 35% of the time, and I think there are enough bluffs in his range, especially given his bet-sizing. It doesn't look like he wants you to call. Sure, some people are smart enough to make river overbets with strong hands specifically to look bluffy, but I wouldn't give him that much credit. Yet.

How would my decision change in this spot if I had bet more on the flop, say to $1.30 or so and get minraised, leaving him with about $5 behind. I'm not so sure that calling would be a viable option at that point. Should i just get the rest in there?

I play 2nl so FWIW.

I call this but am not terribly happy. It looks like he raised your c-bet on the flop to test you, checked the turn becuase he had nothing and is now bluffing the flush. Of course that is what I see, I think AJ raises the turn.

To your second question, Since the button raised and he has a wide rainge I probably 3bet preflop to $1.00 and still expect to be called then pot the flop and shove the turn. Him only being 85bb deep, he has a huge range I think all the money needs to be in the middle by the turn.

Edit: Just noticed this is 6 max which I am not familiar with but I probably still take the same line from what I have seen of 6max play.