Originally Posted by BelgoSuisse
Wow, so Fredrik plays turn and river exactly like i did (check check). And I thought I was botching this hand. I'm extatic!
I think that's the best line, yeah. It's easy to want to think "I want to protect versus a jack" but it's a little bit difficult for him to have a jack (or a flushdraw) that doesn't already have us beaten. Not impossible, but unlikely. It's pretty difficult to make these decisions quickly at the table, especially if you have many tables going at once. My decision-making process looks something like this (so I don't have to start counting too many combos):
1. Will he fold a better hand if I bet the turn? My gut reaction says "no."
2. Will he call with a worse hand? My gut reaction says "maybe a jack."
3. Am I bluffing? Yes.
4. He called the flop bet. Has the turn changed things so he might now be persuaded to fold? No, the turn doesn't change anything in our favor.
#4 is a tip I picked up from Alan. In order to fire a second barrel (very generally speaking), the turn must have changed the board somehow. So a 4-8-8-K turn could be barrelled, because he might have peeled the flop with a pair of sixes, for instance, but the turn hits the range he hoped we had when he called the flop pretty hard, so he might be inclined to give up. A deuce, on the other hand, doesn't change things, so I'd be less inclined to double barrel there, unless I have reasons to believe he peels the flop very light.