[100NL FR] Another River Bluff Catcher

Villain is brand new to the table and has currently played every hand and raised flop on 2 of them. We will say he is an aggro donk.

I plan on ch/calling turn to let him bluff/bet weaker hands. He instashoves river. Call or fold?

poker stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

BTN: $92.20 (92.2 bb)
SB: $50.85 (50.9 bb)
BB: $60 (60 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): $100 (100 bb)
MP1: $121.15 (121.2 bb)
MP2: $187.80 (187.8 bb)
MP3: $20 (20 bb)
CO: $100 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is UTG+1 with T T
CO posts BB out of position, Hero raises to $4.50, 4 folds, BTN calls $4.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($11.50) 9 7 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $8, BTN calls $8

Turn: ($27.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $16, Hero calls $16

River: ($59.50) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $63.70 and is all-in, Hero ?

If I called this i'd expect to lose. Any set mining PP 44, 55, 66, 77, 88, or 99 has you beat, along with JJ, QQ , KK, AA ... stupid 2 pair combos like 45, 78, 89 have you beat ... any hand with a 6 in it. JT makes a straight too.

I just convinced myself to fold.

If I called this i'd expect to lose. Any set mining PP 44, 55, 66, 77, 88, or 99 has you beat, along with JJ, QQ , KK, AA ... stupid 2 pair combos like 45, 78, 89 have you beat ... any hand with a 6 in it. JT makes a straight too.

I just convinced myself to fold.

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His range here is basically JT, 6x, and bluffs since i've seen no one able to value bet 4 straight boards at 100NL FR with less than a straight. I dont think he bets overpairs, 2pairs, and maybe not even sets here.

bw07507 said:

His range here is basically JT, 6x, and bluffs since i've seen no one able to value bet 4 straight boards at 100NL FR with less than a straight. I dont think he bets overpairs, 2pairs, and maybe not even sets here.

Click to expand...

Then its a pretty quick call based on this, right? How many 6's does he have in his range? And we have blockers to JT...

Yea i doubt this guy is good enough of a hand reader to vbet 2 pair or a set here. So yea 6x and JT + bluffs and i think given your reads and the fact that an aggro player is almost always going to shove air after board gets like this and you check to him makes a call perfectly fine imo.

As played, I don't mind a call against an aggro donk. High variance but probably +EV.

About the line, i probably raise turn, though. Either CRAI or min-raise. I love fishy lines against fishy players.

I called, he showed QJ. river snapshove made it sort of an easy call for me. Aggro donks love to snapshove air