[100NL 6max] Straight on Paired Board Blind vs Blind

B

bw07507

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Villain here is 35/22/1.5 Kind of your typical loose aggro donk. I haven't seen him do anything real out of line, but haven't really been watching too closely.
I've been 19/17/2.5

Thoughts on my line in general?

poker stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP: $226.75 (226.8 bb)
CO: $93.65 (93.7 bb)
BTN: $69.65 (69.7 bb)
SB: $122.50 (122.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $131.50 (131.5 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BB with T
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7
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3 folds, SB raises to $3, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($6) 9
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8
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9
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(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4

Turn: ($14) J
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(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $8.50, SB raises to $17, Hero calls $8.50

River: ($48) 5
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(2 players)
SB bets $98.50 and is all-in, Hero calls $98.50
 
Richyl2008

Richyl2008

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Looks good to me, I would expect him to show up with 9x or air here a lot on the river.
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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Yeah this is air / missed draws a lot because there's no way you can call without a 9 right? Ooops wrong again!
 
blankoblanco

blankoblanco

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i'm not folding. but..

he called the flop which suggests some piece of it, draw or made hand, not air. then he check minraised turn, which makes a draw pretty unlikely. then he 2x potted river which makes a bluff fairly unlikely. in my experience overshoves are big hands hoping you'll think it's a bluff more often than actual bluffs... the exception is when they just spaz out

also note that he was the PFR and didn't c-bet, which i think he'd be much more likely to with a draw (or air for that matter). the flop check is often "oh noes i hit my 9/89/88, i can't bet it!"

this is certainly not a missed draw very often but will be 9x sometimes. it's a boat a lot tbh -- possibly even QT -- but i'm still not folding. we under-repped our hand on the turn and all the draws he could put us on missed
 
joos

joos

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i think I would just jam the turn as played.
 
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