[100nl 6max] Best line on river.

Jagsti

Jagsti

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Villain is a bit of a station with stats of 48/13/2 over 67 hands. I'm probably 20/18 TAG.

Interested to hear thoughts on what our river play should be here?

poker stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BTN: $68.10
SB: $130.40
BB: $100
Hero (UTG): $104.75
MP: $19.15
CO: $104.05

Pre-Flop: A
spadenormal.gif
5
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dealt to Hero (UTG)
Hero raises to $3.50, 3 folds, SB calls $3, BB folds

Flop: ($8) 3
diamondnormal.gif
5
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2
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(2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5.50, SB calls $5.50

Turn: ($19) 9
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(2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $13.50, SB calls $13.50

River: ($46) T
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(2 Players)
 
F Paulsson

F Paulsson

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He could have a worse five, but he's also going to have nothing but a busted draw a lot of the time. Unfortunately, some of those busted draws beat you and will call a river bet (TdXd, for instance).

I see no value in a river bet. And I see no value in a bluff.
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

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yeah I feel like your hand has turned into basically a bluff-catcher, and this guy seems aggressive enough to bluff his missed draws, so I think it should be a check-call.

edit: just noticed you're in position. Assuming he checks to you I think we just check behind.
 
Chris_TC

Chris_TC

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River is a clear check behind. I call up to potsized though if he leads.
 
Mr Alacran

Mr Alacran

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He could very easily lead the river with a busted flush draw or a 4, tho as pointed above a flush draw with the 9d or the 10d in it could have you beat right now. IMO, if he leads out, look him up, if not check behind.
 
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